Lockdown Archives - Page 4 of 5

April 5: Murray Model Projections for New Hampshire vs. Numbers Reported by DHHS … the Model is a Damn Joke.

April 5, 2020 Ed Mosca

Here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 5th … in terms of hospitalizations, 64 more people would be hospitalized in New Hampshire for Coronavirus, bringing the total of hospitalized to 638: DHHS reports a cumulative total of 92 hospitalized. So, the Murray Model is over-projecting hospitalizations by 546 or nearly 7-X. … Read more

April 4: Murray Model Projections for New Hampshire vs. Numbers Reported by DHHS (UPDATED)

April 4, 2020April 4, 2020 Ed Mosca

THIS POST HAS BEEN UPDATED TO REFLECT DDHS NUMERS RELEASED TODAY. Here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 4th … in terms of hospitalizations, 66 more people would be hospitalized in New Hampshire for Coronavirus, bringing the total of hospitalized to 574: DHHS reports a cumulative total of 86 hospitalized. So, … Read more

April 3 Coronavirus: Another Bad Miss by the Murray Model

April 3, 2020 Ed Mosca

So here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 3rd … in terms of hospitalizations, 61 more people would be hospitalized in New Hampshire for Coronavirus, bringing the total of hospitalized to 508: The reality: seven new hospitalizations … 80 hospitalizations in total: So the Murray Model at this point is overestimating … Read more

Lakes Region General Hospital Furloughs 500 Workers on Account of Flawed Models Vastly Overestimating Impact of Coronavirus

April 3, 2020 Ed Mosca

From the Laconia Daily Sun: Lakes Region General Hospital is furloughing 500 full-time employees, LRGH President and CEO Kevin Donovan said Friday. It will keep its emergency department, critical care and coronavirus treatment services open as it deals with the financial fallout of the pandemic, … The hospital was struggling with a high debt load … Read more

April 2 Coronavirus: The Murray Model vs. The Actual Numbers for New Hampshire

April 2, 2020 Ed Mosca

So here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 2nd … in terms of hospitalizations, 447 people would be in the hospital for Coronavirus: The actual number is at the most 73 people are hospitalized (the number reported by DHHS is “have been hospitalized” so some of the number reported may have … Read more

#FakeNews Concord Monitor Reports NH Facing Ventilator Shortage … Based on … You Guessed it … Flawed Murray Model

April 2, 2020 Ed Mosca

This: If you have been following my posts, you know the IHME model, which I call the Murray Model, has been massively overestimating the impact of Coronavirus on New Hampshire. Paraphrasing from yesterday’s post, while the Murray Model was predicting 405 would be hospitalized in New Hampshire on April 1, 2020 on account of Coronavirus, … Read more

April 1 Coronavirus: The Murray Model vs. The Actual Numbers for New Hampshire

April 1, 2020 Ed Mosca

So here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 1st … in terms of hospitalizations, 405 people would be in the hospital for Coronavirus: The actual number (covidtracking.com) is a total of 59 hospitalized to date: So at a minimum, the Murray Model overestimated needed hospital beds by 346, or 7X. As … Read more

Utter Madness – Sununu Says He May Continue Lockdown for Months

April 1, 2020April 1, 2020 Ed Mosca

This: It’s the job of the press to be asking questions like: “and how do you know that?” And if the answer is: “the Murray model,” to point out that the Murray model has been vastly overestimating the impact of Coronavirus on New Hampshire. But instead we are getting something more along the lines of … Read more

Murray Model Revised Yet Again – Now Saying NH Would Have Seven-Times as Many Coronavirus Hospitalizations YESTERDAY as Actually Hospitalized

April 1, 2020 Ed Mosca

Last night (3/31), at about 11:00 P.M., I posted Murray Model Predicted New Hampshire Would Need Three-Times as Many Hospital Beds Today for Coronavirus Than Number Reported by DHHS. At that time this is what the Murray model said New Hampshire hospitalizations for the Coronavirus would look like: Now, less than twelve hours later, the … Read more

Murray Model Predicted New Hampshire Would Need Three-Times as Many Hospital Beds Today for Coronavirus Than Number Reported by DHHS

March 31, 2020 Ed Mosca

So here is today’s update on Coronavirus from DHHS: So 49 persons in New Hampshire have been hospitalized for Coronavirus. I have no idea … and the DHHS website does not say … if that many remain hospitalized. The actual number of hospitalized today (March 31st) could be much lower. But let’s assume that there … Read more

What Do You Mean This Post Isn’t About the Chinese Flu?

March 31, 2020 Steve MacDonald

It has become increasingly difficult to find subject matter outside the context of that thing we’re all experiencing as a planet. Yes, the Kardashians. No, the other thing. But I’ve been trying. Because all (that thing) and no play makes Blogger a dull boy.

Murray Model Drastically Revises New Hampshire Coronavirus Projections Overnight

March 31, 2020 Ed Mosca

So, yesterday I posted about the Murray Model’s projections for New Hampshire. Here is what the model was projecting yesterday: I checked this morning and the projections have been drastically revised. Now the model is predicting a peak in less than three weeks, not four weeks. And the mortality prediction has dropped from 351 to … Read more

Virginia Extends Coronavirus Lockdown to Mid-June

March 31, 2020 Ed Mosca

This: Meanwhile Scott Gottlieb, whose recommendations apparently are driving the federal government’s response, is talking about August as when we can expect to return to “some elements” of our “normal lives”: If we keep this country on lockdown until July or August, there will be no “normal” to come back to. The economy is not … Read more

The Murray Model – New Hampshire Shutdown to Continue At Least Into June.

March 31, 2020March 30, 2020 Ed Mosca

Last night, I posted about President Trump extending the federal guidelines for another month: But we need to know exactly what model is driving the decision to extend the guidelines. If we are headed into an economic downturn potentially worse than the Great Depression, we better be damn sure that the policies that are leading … Read more

Shelter in Place is Not About Health it is About Politics and a More Permanent Form of Confinement

March 28, 2020March 25, 2020 Steve MacDonald

The tyrannical left wants to let inmates out of jail – people who are confined criminals and might be contagious. So they can what? Shelter in place among the potentially infectious law-abiding public?

Op-Ed – Lockdown Civil Disobedience Notice for Governor Sununu

March 24, 2020 Op-Ed

Governor: Should you issue a lockdown order similar to the one in New Jersey amounting to a ban on one-man protests, I will (if able and well) exit my home, walk to a nearby intersection and “illegally” demonstrate alone.

About a Quarter of All Americans

March 23, 2020 Steve MacDonald

About a quarter of all Americans are under orders to close up shop and stay home. Lawmakers in the District of Columbia are nearing a stimulus deal. It could pump over a trillion dollars into the economy. The agreement is on the stated need for a stimulus package. All want to limit the economic damage … Read more

After Three Years of Warning Us Trump is a Dictator – Leftist Demands He Act Like One

March 22, 2020 Steve MacDonald

Unless you were in a hole or under a rock you may have noticed something. The Left has been calling Donald Trump a tyrant. Warning us he is a fascist. Just waiting to take away your individual liberties. What we on the right would call “projection.”

Some Inconvenient (for the N.H. Democrats) Truths About ChineseCoronavirus

March 21, 2020 Ed Mosca

So check out this tweet, which inspired this post: Matty sure has a short memory. Per the CDC, 60.8 million Americans got sick and 12,468 died due to the H1N1 pandemic under President Obama, who took six months after the World Health Organization to declare an emergency. But that’s not what inspired this post. The … Read more

CoronaComedy – Cabin Fever Leads to Humor When You’re Trapped Inside

March 13, 2020March 12, 2020 Steve MacDonald

As the nation and the world go nuts over the flu and we appear on the verge of any number of restrictions (canceled events, closed schools, and so on) in the US, we should look to the east. A new pandemic has also started there. Cabin Fever. And in response is strange and hilarious.