ChineseCoronavirus Archives - Granite Grok

ChineseCoronavirus

Sununu

There Is No Science Supporting Sununu’s Decision to Keep NH Schools Closed

Back on April 16th, I posted about Sununu’s decision to keep New Hampshire schools closed for the remainder of the school-year: Reopening schools, based on the Ferguson model … which as you may recall initially predicted 2.2 million COVID deaths in the United States (versus the current projection of 69,000) … would cause an additional …

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Sununu

An Increasingly Divorced-From-Reality Sununu Cancels (What’s Left of) School to Save … Potentially … 1.5 Deaths “Related to” COVID

So this: And here is Sununu’s letter: Sununu’s claim that students are at risk from COVID is a crock. The COVID fatality rate for people under twenty is effectively ZERO. As for students spreading COVID to others, a recent paper claimed that reopening schools would cause an increase in COVID fatalities of 2% to 4%. …

An Increasingly Divorced-From-Reality Sununu Cancels (What’s Left of) School to Save … Potentially … 1.5 Deaths “Related to” COVID Read More »

Sununu

At Best, the Governor is in Deep Denial

So last night the Murray Model abandoned its doomsday Coronavirus projections for New Hampshire. We had a post up almost as soon as the model was updated: Murray Model Drops Doomsday Projections – No Excuse Left Not to End the Lockdown

Murray Model Drops Doomsday Projections – No Excuse Left Not to End the Lockdown

So earlier today here was the curve the Murray Model was projecting as to the need for hospital beds for Coronavirus patients: Here’s what it looks like now: I didn’t screen-shot the death projection today, but here is March 30th’s 351, which was subsequently dropped to 331, which was the projection earlier today: Here is …

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April 5: Murray Model Projections for New Hampshire vs. Numbers Reported by DHHS … the Model is a Damn Joke.

Here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 5th … in terms of hospitalizations, 64 more people would be hospitalized in New Hampshire for Coronavirus, bringing the total of hospitalized to 638: DHHS reports a cumulative total of 92 hospitalized. So, the Murray Model is over-projecting hospitalizations by 546 or nearly 7-X. …

April 5: Murray Model Projections for New Hampshire vs. Numbers Reported by DHHS … the Model is a Damn Joke. Read More »

DHHS’ Own Numbers Show Coronavirus Probably Peaked in New Hampshire in February

Back on March 21st, I posted about a theory by Julie Kelly of American Greatness that Coronavirus has been present in America much earlier than the forecasting models assume. Intuitively, it makes sense. Coronavirus was present in China since at least November, 2019. China never attempted to prevent the virus from spreading beyond its borders …

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April 4: Murray Model Projections for New Hampshire vs. Numbers Reported by DHHS (UPDATED)

THIS POST HAS BEEN UPDATED TO REFLECT DDHS NUMERS RELEASED TODAY. Here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 4th … in terms of hospitalizations, 66 more people would be hospitalized in New Hampshire for Coronavirus, bringing the total of hospitalized to 574: DHHS reports a cumulative total of 86 hospitalized. So, …

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April 3 Coronavirus: Another Bad Miss by the Murray Model

So here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 3rd … in terms of hospitalizations, 61 more people would be hospitalized in New Hampshire for Coronavirus, bringing the total of hospitalized to 508: The reality: seven new hospitalizations … 80 hospitalizations in total: So the Murray Model at this point is overestimating …

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Lakes Region General Hospital Furloughs 500 Workers on Account of Flawed Models Vastly Overestimating Impact of Coronavirus

From the Laconia Daily Sun: Lakes Region General Hospital is furloughing 500 full-time employees, LRGH President and CEO Kevin Donovan said Friday. It will keep its emergency department, critical care and coronavirus treatment services open as it deals with the financial fallout of the pandemic, … The hospital was struggling with a high debt load …

Lakes Region General Hospital Furloughs 500 Workers on Account of Flawed Models Vastly Overestimating Impact of Coronavirus Read More »

April 2 Coronavirus: The Murray Model vs. The Actual Numbers for New Hampshire

So here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 2nd … in terms of hospitalizations, 447 people would be in the hospital for Coronavirus: The actual number is at the most 73 people are hospitalized (the number reported by DHHS is “have been hospitalized” so some of the number reported may have …

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