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ChineseCoronavirus

#FakeNews Concord Monitor Reports NH Facing Ventilator Shortage … Based on … You Guessed it … Flawed Murray Model

This: If you have been following my posts, you know the IHME model, which I call the Murray Model, has been massively overestimating the impact of Coronavirus on New Hampshire. Paraphrasing from yesterday’s post, while the Murray Model was predicting 405 would be hospitalized in New Hampshire on April 1, 2020 on account of Coronavirus, …

#FakeNews Concord Monitor Reports NH Facing Ventilator Shortage … Based on … You Guessed it … Flawed Murray Model Read More »

April 1 Coronavirus: The Murray Model vs. The Actual Numbers for New Hampshire

So here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 1st … in terms of hospitalizations, 405 people would be in the hospital for Coronavirus: The actual number (covidtracking.com) is a total of 59 hospitalized to date: So at a minimum, the Murray Model overestimated needed hospital beds by 346, or 7X. As …

April 1 Coronavirus: The Murray Model vs. The Actual Numbers for New Hampshire Read More »

Utter Madness – Sununu Says He May Continue Lockdown for Months

This: It’s the job of the press to be asking questions like: “and how do you know that?”  And if the answer is: “the Murray model,” to point out that the Murray model has been vastly overestimating the impact of Coronavirus on New Hampshire. But instead we are getting something more along the lines of …

Utter Madness – Sununu Says He May Continue Lockdown for Months Read More »

Murray Model Revised Yet Again – Now Saying NH Would Have Seven-Times as Many Coronavirus Hospitalizations YESTERDAY as Actually Hospitalized

Last night (3/31), at about 11:00 P.M., I posted Murray Model Predicted New Hampshire Would Need Three-Times as Many Hospital Beds Today for Coronavirus Than Number Reported by DHHS. At that time this is what the Murray model said New Hampshire hospitalizations for the Coronavirus would look like: Now, less than twelve hours later, the …

Murray Model Revised Yet Again – Now Saying NH Would Have Seven-Times as Many Coronavirus Hospitalizations YESTERDAY as Actually Hospitalized Read More »

Murray Model Predicted New Hampshire Would Need Three-Times as Many Hospital Beds Today for Coronavirus Than Number Reported by DHHS

So here is today’s update on Coronavirus from DHHS: So 49 persons in New Hampshire have been hospitalized for Coronavirus. I have no idea … and the DHHS website does not say … if that many remain hospitalized. The actual number of hospitalized today (March 31st) could be much lower. But let’s assume that there …

Murray Model Predicted New Hampshire Would Need Three-Times as Many Hospital Beds Today for Coronavirus Than Number Reported by DHHS Read More »

Union Leader Now Carrying Water for Jeanne Shaheen on Coronavirus

This: The linked “article”, if you want to be kind and call it that, resembles John DiStaso’s “coverage” – essentially cutting and pasting Jeanne Shaheen’s press release and signing your name to it: The grants come on top of $1.25 billion New Hampshire will receive under the Coronavirus Aid Relief and Economic Security Act, the …

Union Leader Now Carrying Water for Jeanne Shaheen on Coronavirus Read More »

Murray Model Drastically Revises New Hampshire Coronavirus Projections Overnight

So, yesterday I posted about the Murray Model’s projections for New Hampshire. Here is what the model was projecting yesterday: I checked this morning and the projections have been drastically revised. Now the model is predicting a peak in less than three weeks, not four weeks. And the mortality prediction has dropped from 351 to …

Murray Model Drastically Revises New Hampshire Coronavirus Projections Overnight Read More »

How Deadly is Covid?

Virginia Extends Coronavirus Lockdown to Mid-June

This: Meanwhile Scott Gottlieb, whose recommendations apparently are driving the federal government’s response, is talking about August as when we can expect to return to “some elements” of our “normal lives”: If we keep this country on lockdown until July or August, there will be no “normal” to come back to. The economy is not …

Virginia Extends Coronavirus Lockdown to Mid-June Read More »

The Murray Model – New Hampshire Shutdown to Continue At Least Into June.

Last night, I posted about President Trump extending the federal guidelines for another month: But we need to know exactly what model is driving the decision to extend the guidelines. If we are headed into an economic downturn potentially worse than the Great Depression, we better be damn sure that the policies that are leading …

The Murray Model – New Hampshire Shutdown to Continue At Least Into June. Read More »

NH’s Coronavirus Policy is Based on a Flawed/Discredited Model That Its Author Has Abandoned

This from Associated Press yesterday: Coronavirus cases are expected to peak in New Hampshire sometime between the end of April and early May, the state’s health commissioner told the Executive Council on Wednesday. This “expectation” appears to be based on COVID Act Now, which Steve has posted about, which is based on the Imperial College …

NH’s Coronavirus Policy is Based on a Flawed/Discredited Model That Its Author Has Abandoned Read More »