So this:
And here is Sununu’s letter:
Sununu’s claim that students are at risk from COVID is a crock. The COVID fatality rate for people under twenty is effectively ZERO.
As for students spreading COVID to others, a recent paper claimed that reopening schools would cause an increase in COVID fatalities of 2% to 4%.
The IMHE model is projecting 79 COVID deaths for New Hampshire:
Reopening schools, based on the Ferguson model … which as you may recall initially predicted 2.2 million COVID deaths in the United States (versus the current projection of 69,000) … would cause an additional 1.58 to 3.16 deaths.
In New Hampshire, DHHS is reporting 32 deaths “related to” Coronavirus. As I have noted previously, “related to” is different from “caused by.” Related to is when the death was actually caused by a different medical condition and MAY have been hastened by COVID.
In other words, we can assume that the deaths “related to” COVID involved to some extent people whose life expectancies may have been years, months or even weeks because of a different medical condition, but whose death … from that different medical condition … was hastened by COVID.
We don’t like to see anyone die. But … as I have mentioned before … we don’t close the roads to prevent traffic fatalities, even though 99 traffic fatalities were reported last year. Is it worth keeping the schools closed for the remainder of the year to not prevent, but just to potentially extend … and likely only very marginally … the lifespan of 1.5 persons with an underlying medical condition?
If you answer yes, then explain why we don’t also close schools to prevent deaths from influenza, or close the roads to prevent traffic fatalities.
