shutdown Archives - Page 2 of 3

Isn’t That Interesting

April 8, 2020

We may have sheltered in place a little too long… The Coronavirus started in Wuhan, isn’t that interesting. Did you know that the distance from Wuhan to Shanghai is 537 miles? The driving distance from Wuhan to Beijing is 720 miles. Did you know the driving distance from Wuhan to Milan is 6,724 miles? The … Read more

At Best, the Governor is in Deep Denial

April 6, 2020 Ed Mosca

So last night the Murray Model abandoned its doomsday Coronavirus projections for New Hampshire. We had a post up almost as soon as the model was updated: Murray Model Drops Doomsday Projections – No Excuse Left Not to End the Lockdown

April 5: Murray Model Projections for New Hampshire vs. Numbers Reported by DHHS … the Model is a Damn Joke.

April 5, 2020 Ed Mosca

Here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 5th … in terms of hospitalizations, 64 more people would be hospitalized in New Hampshire for Coronavirus, bringing the total of hospitalized to 638: DHHS reports a cumulative total of 92 hospitalized. So, the Murray Model is over-projecting hospitalizations by 546 or nearly 7-X. … Read more

April 4: Murray Model Projections for New Hampshire vs. Numbers Reported by DHHS (UPDATED)

April 4, 2020April 4, 2020 Ed Mosca

THIS POST HAS BEEN UPDATED TO REFLECT DDHS NUMERS RELEASED TODAY. Here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 4th … in terms of hospitalizations, 66 more people would be hospitalized in New Hampshire for Coronavirus, bringing the total of hospitalized to 574: DHHS reports a cumulative total of 86 hospitalized. So, … Read more

April 3 Coronavirus: Another Bad Miss by the Murray Model

April 3, 2020 Ed Mosca

So here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 3rd … in terms of hospitalizations, 61 more people would be hospitalized in New Hampshire for Coronavirus, bringing the total of hospitalized to 508: The reality: seven new hospitalizations … 80 hospitalizations in total: So the Murray Model at this point is overestimating … Read more

Lakes Region General Hospital Furloughs 500 Workers on Account of Flawed Models Vastly Overestimating Impact of Coronavirus

April 3, 2020 Ed Mosca

From the Laconia Daily Sun: Lakes Region General Hospital is furloughing 500 full-time employees, LRGH President and CEO Kevin Donovan said Friday. It will keep its emergency department, critical care and coronavirus treatment services open as it deals with the financial fallout of the pandemic, … The hospital was struggling with a high debt load … Read more

April 2 Coronavirus: The Murray Model vs. The Actual Numbers for New Hampshire

April 2, 2020 Ed Mosca

So here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 2nd … in terms of hospitalizations, 447 people would be in the hospital for Coronavirus: The actual number is at the most 73 people are hospitalized (the number reported by DHHS is “have been hospitalized” so some of the number reported may have … Read more

#FakeNews Concord Monitor Reports NH Facing Ventilator Shortage … Based on … You Guessed it … Flawed Murray Model

April 2, 2020 Ed Mosca

This: If you have been following my posts, you know the IHME model, which I call the Murray Model, has been massively overestimating the impact of Coronavirus on New Hampshire. Paraphrasing from yesterday’s post, while the Murray Model was predicting 405 would be hospitalized in New Hampshire on April 1, 2020 on account of Coronavirus, … Read more

April 1 Coronavirus: The Murray Model vs. The Actual Numbers for New Hampshire

April 1, 2020 Ed Mosca

So here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 1st … in terms of hospitalizations, 405 people would be in the hospital for Coronavirus: The actual number (covidtracking.com) is a total of 59 hospitalized to date: So at a minimum, the Murray Model overestimated needed hospital beds by 346, or 7X. As … Read more

Utter Madness – Sununu Says He May Continue Lockdown for Months

April 1, 2020April 1, 2020 Ed Mosca

This: It’s the job of the press to be asking questions like: “and how do you know that?” And if the answer is: “the Murray model,” to point out that the Murray model has been vastly overestimating the impact of Coronavirus on New Hampshire. But instead we are getting something more along the lines of … Read more

Murray Model Revised Yet Again – Now Saying NH Would Have Seven-Times as Many Coronavirus Hospitalizations YESTERDAY as Actually Hospitalized

April 1, 2020 Ed Mosca

Last night (3/31), at about 11:00 P.M., I posted Murray Model Predicted New Hampshire Would Need Three-Times as Many Hospital Beds Today for Coronavirus Than Number Reported by DHHS. At that time this is what the Murray model said New Hampshire hospitalizations for the Coronavirus would look like: Now, less than twelve hours later, the … Read more

Murray Model Predicted New Hampshire Would Need Three-Times as Many Hospital Beds Today for Coronavirus Than Number Reported by DHHS

March 31, 2020 Ed Mosca

So here is today’s update on Coronavirus from DHHS: So 49 persons in New Hampshire have been hospitalized for Coronavirus. I have no idea … and the DHHS website does not say … if that many remain hospitalized. The actual number of hospitalized today (March 31st) could be much lower. But let’s assume that there … Read more

Murray Model Drastically Revises New Hampshire Coronavirus Projections Overnight

March 31, 2020 Ed Mosca

So, yesterday I posted about the Murray Model’s projections for New Hampshire. Here is what the model was projecting yesterday: I checked this morning and the projections have been drastically revised. Now the model is predicting a peak in less than three weeks, not four weeks. And the mortality prediction has dropped from 351 to … Read more

Virginia Extends Coronavirus Lockdown to Mid-June

March 31, 2020 Ed Mosca

This: Meanwhile Scott Gottlieb, whose recommendations apparently are driving the federal government’s response, is talking about August as when we can expect to return to “some elements” of our “normal lives”: If we keep this country on lockdown until July or August, there will be no “normal” to come back to. The economy is not … Read more

Perspective on Government Imposed Shutdown

March 31, 2020March 30, 2020

It is time for some perspective on government imposed shutdown. The President made an announcement. He is aiming toward Easter Sunday as the point at which to begin getting the economy going again. This is triggering heavy opposition. The debate is about how much destruction to the economy to inflict. That is simply a stupid … Read more

The Murray Model – New Hampshire Shutdown to Continue At Least Into June.

March 31, 2020March 30, 2020 Ed Mosca

Last night, I posted about President Trump extending the federal guidelines for another month: But we need to know exactly what model is driving the decision to extend the guidelines. If we are headed into an economic downturn potentially worse than the Great Depression, we better be damn sure that the policies that are leading … Read more

Dear Governor Sununu, Your Shutdown is NOT a Joking Matter to the Businesses and Workers You’ve “Deemed” as Nonessential

March 29, 2020 Ed Mosca

This: The Governor and his “crack staff” are still getting paid. The owners and employees of businesses that the Governor has deemed “nonessential” are not. I have a feeling they might not find this tweet as cute or funny as the Governor and his “crack staff” apparently find it. Indeed, I have a feeling they … Read more

Flawed COVID-19 Mapping Tool Used to Justify Lockdowns: Crafted by Democrat Operatives

March 25, 2020 Steve MacDonald

States and municipalities have been driven to lockdown their citizens based on the COVID Act Now website. It is an online mapping tool that claims to estimate hospitalizations with and without shelter in place orders. Its data is garbage and its predictions are crap.

An Open Letter to Governor Sununu: Stop the Madness; Reopen the Economy.

March 23, 2020 Ed Mosca

Dear Governor Sununu: So I saw this tweet from Landrigan this morning: If this is true … and there is no delicate way to put this … it is madness. The economy is not a light bulb that can be turned on and off. We are on the precipice of an economic downturn worse than … Read more

SHTF! – US Porn Industry Takes Two Week Hiatus ‘cuz, Well, You Know Why

March 18, 2020 Steve MacDonald

No new porn for two weeks. Well, the official industry-approved variety. They’ve called for a two-week shutdown. No worries around here but for people trapped inside, they may find themselves running out of things to do after the video games and streaming services start to get tired.