New Hampshire Archives - Page 45 of 121

April 5: Murray Model Projections for New Hampshire vs. Numbers Reported by DHHS … the Model is a Damn Joke.

April 5, 2020 Ed Mosca

Here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 5th … in terms of hospitalizations, 64 more people would be hospitalized in New Hampshire for Coronavirus, bringing the total of hospitalized to 638: DHHS reports a cumulative total of 92 hospitalized. So, the Murray Model is over-projecting hospitalizations by 546 or nearly 7-X. … Read more

DHHS’ Own Numbers Show Coronavirus Probably Peaked in New Hampshire in February

April 5, 2020April 5, 2020 Ed Mosca

Back on March 21st, I posted about a theory by Julie Kelly of American Greatness that Coronavirus has been present in America much earlier than the forecasting models assume. Intuitively, it makes sense. Coronavirus was present in China since at least November, 2019. China never attempted to prevent the virus from spreading beyond its borders … Read more

April 4: Murray Model Projections for New Hampshire vs. Numbers Reported by DHHS (UPDATED)

April 4, 2020April 4, 2020 Ed Mosca

THIS POST HAS BEEN UPDATED TO REFLECT DDHS NUMERS RELEASED TODAY. Here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 4th … in terms of hospitalizations, 66 more people would be hospitalized in New Hampshire for Coronavirus, bringing the total of hospitalized to 574: DHHS reports a cumulative total of 86 hospitalized. So, … Read more

Coronavirus modeling – it isn’t just Ed complaining about how bad it is.

April 4, 2020April 4, 2020 Skip

Grokster Ed has been doing yeoman’s work in applying the Charles Murray / IHME model that is being used to set governmental policy (yesterday’s, for example, is here). A number of people are noticing that, just like the climate models (including the favs of the UN’s IPCC), they are running “hot” in that they are … Read more

$numbers digits math$

The State Economy is on Hold Because 0.04% of the Population Has Had a Confirmed Case of this Flu

April 4, 2020 Steve MacDonald

The COVID response is nothing short the classic rhetorical Progressive State of War. The mobilization of society to do battle with some advertised evil. Always with the state exercising increased control over people and property. In New Hampshire, we are doing this for what, exactly?

April 3 Coronavirus: Another Bad Miss by the Murray Model

April 3, 2020 Ed Mosca

So here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 3rd … in terms of hospitalizations, 61 more people would be hospitalized in New Hampshire for Coronavirus, bringing the total of hospitalized to 508: The reality: seven new hospitalizations … 80 hospitalizations in total: So the Murray Model at this point is overestimating … Read more

Property Management Company Tells Renters No Guests ‘cuz Coronavirus or Else!

April 3, 2020 Steve MacDonald

Harbour Property Management has sent a letter to all the renters living in their properties. It politely tells them that they are no longer allowed to have any visitors. Say what?

Lakes Region General Hospital Furloughs 500 Workers on Account of Flawed Models Vastly Overestimating Impact of Coronavirus

April 3, 2020 Ed Mosca

From the Laconia Daily Sun: Lakes Region General Hospital is furloughing 500 full-time employees, LRGH President and CEO Kevin Donovan said Friday. It will keep its emergency department, critical care and coronavirus treatment services open as it deals with the financial fallout of the pandemic, … The hospital was struggling with a high debt load … Read more

New Hampshire Corona Virus

April 3, 2020

The first coronavirus case in New Hampshire was reported on March 2. Here’s a by town map of cases. There have been a total of 415 cases reported and four deaths, according to a New York Times database.

April 2 Coronavirus: The Murray Model vs. The Actual Numbers for New Hampshire

April 2, 2020 Ed Mosca

So here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 2nd … in terms of hospitalizations, 447 people would be in the hospital for Coronavirus: The actual number is at the most 73 people are hospitalized (the number reported by DHHS is “have been hospitalized” so some of the number reported may have … Read more

#FakeNews Concord Monitor Reports NH Facing Ventilator Shortage … Based on … You Guessed it … Flawed Murray Model

April 2, 2020 Ed Mosca

This: If you have been following my posts, you know the IHME model, which I call the Murray Model, has been massively overestimating the impact of Coronavirus on New Hampshire. Paraphrasing from yesterday’s post, while the Murray Model was predicting 405 would be hospitalized in New Hampshire on April 1, 2020 on account of Coronavirus, … Read more

April 1 Coronavirus: The Murray Model vs. The Actual Numbers for New Hampshire

April 1, 2020 Ed Mosca

So here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 1st … in terms of hospitalizations, 405 people would be in the hospital for Coronavirus: The actual number (covidtracking.com) is a total of 59 hospitalized to date: So at a minimum, the Murray Model overestimated needed hospital beds by 346, or 7X. As … Read more

Utter Madness – Sununu Says He May Continue Lockdown for Months

April 1, 2020April 1, 2020 Ed Mosca

This: It’s the job of the press to be asking questions like: “and how do you know that?” And if the answer is: “the Murray model,” to point out that the Murray model has been vastly overestimating the impact of Coronavirus on New Hampshire. But instead we are getting something more along the lines of … Read more

While New Hampshire Confines Law-Abiding Citizens to Their Homes … the Jails are Being Emptied

April 1, 2020 Ed Mosca

This: From the accompanying story, directed to the Superintendent of Corrections for Belknap County: What have you been doing to reduce the jail population? There’s two types of inmates in the county jail. We have sentenced inmates that serve 12 months or less and then pretrial defendants. So I’ve worked with the county attorney and … Read more

Murray Model Revised Yet Again – Now Saying NH Would Have Seven-Times as Many Coronavirus Hospitalizations YESTERDAY as Actually Hospitalized

April 1, 2020 Ed Mosca

Last night (3/31), at about 11:00 P.M., I posted Murray Model Predicted New Hampshire Would Need Three-Times as Many Hospital Beds Today for Coronavirus Than Number Reported by DHHS. At that time this is what the Murray model said New Hampshire hospitalizations for the Coronavirus would look like: Now, less than twelve hours later, the … Read more

Murray Model Predicted New Hampshire Would Need Three-Times as Many Hospital Beds Today for Coronavirus Than Number Reported by DHHS

March 31, 2020 Ed Mosca

So here is today’s update on Coronavirus from DHHS: So 49 persons in New Hampshire have been hospitalized for Coronavirus. I have no idea … and the DHHS website does not say … if that many remain hospitalized. The actual number of hospitalized today (March 31st) could be much lower. But let’s assume that there … Read more

Are the Left’s Anti-Oil and Gas Policies Fracking Racist!?

March 31, 2020 Steve MacDonald

Just so we’re clear the Democrat Race-Pimps Jesse Jackson and Al Sharpton are in favor of transitioning to what the left pretends are cleaner forms of energy (they are not). But they are concerned that the current crop of Fracking-banners would place an unfair burden on African Americans.

Murray Model Drastically Revises New Hampshire Coronavirus Projections Overnight

March 31, 2020 Ed Mosca

So, yesterday I posted about the Murray Model’s projections for New Hampshire. Here is what the model was projecting yesterday: I checked this morning and the projections have been drastically revised. Now the model is predicting a peak in less than three weeks, not four weeks. And the mortality prediction has dropped from 351 to … Read more

Virginia Extends Coronavirus Lockdown to Mid-June

March 31, 2020 Ed Mosca

This: Meanwhile Scott Gottlieb, whose recommendations apparently are driving the federal government’s response, is talking about August as when we can expect to return to “some elements” of our “normal lives”: If we keep this country on lockdown until July or August, there will be no “normal” to come back to. The economy is not … Read more

The Murray Model – New Hampshire Shutdown to Continue At Least Into June.

March 31, 2020March 30, 2020 Ed Mosca

Last night, I posted about President Trump extending the federal guidelines for another month: But we need to know exactly what model is driving the decision to extend the guidelines. If we are headed into an economic downturn potentially worse than the Great Depression, we better be damn sure that the policies that are leading … Read more