Lakes Region General Hospital Furloughs 500 Workers on Account of Flawed Models Vastly Overestimating Impact of Coronavirus

From the Laconia Daily Sun: Lakes Region General Hospital is furloughing 500 full-time employees, LRGH President and CEO Kevin Donovan said Friday. It will keep its emergency department, critical care and coronavirus treatment services open as it deals with the financial fallout of the pandemic, … The hospital was struggling with a high debt load … Read more

April 2 Coronavirus: The Murray Model vs. The Actual Numbers for New Hampshire

So here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 2nd … in terms of hospitalizations, 447 people would be in the hospital for Coronavirus: The actual number is at the most 73 people are hospitalized (the number reported by DHHS is “have been hospitalized” so some of the number reported may have … Read more

#FakeNews Concord Monitor Reports NH Facing Ventilator Shortage … Based on … You Guessed it … Flawed Murray Model

This: If you have been following my posts, you know the IHME model, which I call the Murray Model, has been massively overestimating the impact of Coronavirus on New Hampshire. Paraphrasing from yesterday’s post, while the Murray Model was predicting 405 would be hospitalized in New Hampshire on April 1, 2020 on account of Coronavirus, … Read more

April 1 Coronavirus: The Murray Model vs. The Actual Numbers for New Hampshire

So here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 1st … in terms of hospitalizations, 405 people would be in the hospital for Coronavirus: The actual number (covidtracking.com) is a total of 59 hospitalized to date: So at a minimum, the Murray Model overestimated needed hospital beds by 346, or 7X. As … Read more

Murray Model Revised Yet Again – Now Saying NH Would Have Seven-Times as Many Coronavirus Hospitalizations YESTERDAY as Actually Hospitalized

Last night (3/31), at about 11:00 P.M., I posted Murray Model Predicted New Hampshire Would Need Three-Times as Many Hospital Beds Today for Coronavirus Than Number Reported by DHHS. At that time this is what the Murray model said New Hampshire hospitalizations for the Coronavirus would look like: Now, less than twelve hours later, the … Read more

Murray Model Predicted New Hampshire Would Need Three-Times as Many Hospital Beds Today for Coronavirus Than Number Reported by DHHS

So here is today’s update on Coronavirus from DHHS: So 49 persons in New Hampshire have been hospitalized for Coronavirus. I have no idea … and the DHHS website does not say … if that many remain hospitalized. The actual number of hospitalized today (March 31st) could be much lower. But let’s assume that there … Read more

Murray Model Drastically Revises New Hampshire Coronavirus Projections Overnight

So, yesterday I posted about the Murray Model’s projections for New Hampshire. Here is what the model was projecting yesterday: I checked this morning and the projections have been drastically revised. Now the model is predicting a peak in less than three weeks, not four weeks. And the mortality prediction has dropped from 351 to … Read more

How Deadly is Covid?

Virginia Extends Coronavirus Lockdown to Mid-June

This: Meanwhile Scott Gottlieb, whose recommendations apparently are driving the federal government’s response, is talking about August as when we can expect to return to “some elements” of our “normal lives”: If we keep this country on lockdown until July or August, there will be no “normal” to come back to. The economy is not … Read more

The Murray Model – New Hampshire Shutdown to Continue At Least Into June.

Last night, I posted about President Trump extending the federal guidelines for another month: But we need to know exactly what model is driving the decision to extend the guidelines. If we are headed into an economic downturn potentially worse than the Great Depression, we better be damn sure that the policies that are leading … Read more

NH’s Coronavirus Policy is Based on a Flawed/Discredited Model That Its Author Has Abandoned

This from Associated Press yesterday: Coronavirus cases are expected to peak in New Hampshire sometime between the end of April and early May, the state’s health commissioner told the Executive Council on Wednesday. This “expectation” appears to be based on COVID Act Now, which Steve has posted about, which is based on the Imperial College … Read more

DHHS Wants to Keep New Hampshire Economy Closed Until Sometime in May

The Governor and Executive Council met this morning. Adam Sexton live-tweeted it. Among the tweets: This is most likely wrong. It is likely that COVID-19 has been present in New Hampshire since January, but we had been assuming that it’s the flu because we weren’t looking for COVID-19:   We cannot maintain the status quo … Read more

Democrats Fail to Protect Children Again

Democrats Fail to Protect Children, Again

Democrats in Concord have developed hypocrisy from a hobby into an art-form. On one hand, they claim to defend and fight for vulnerable residents of the Granite State by shouting from the rooftops about public education funding and social welfare spending. Then, when it comes time to actually legislate to protect their constituents’ rights to … Read more

DHHS Targets ANOTHER Small Farm for Raw Milk Product

Another small farmer in New Hampshire has been warned by the Department of Health and Human Services that they better stop selling raw milk products, lest they face $500 fines per day. This is the second time just this month that such a letter has been received by a small farmer, just trying to make … Read more

Small Farm v Big Government – Raw Milk Ice Cream

Earlier this month, on August 4th, Jill Fudala and her husband got a sternly written letter from the Department of Health and Human Services telling them that their sale of Raw Milk Ice Cream was illegal, and needed to stop immediately, or else they’d face fines of $500 per day, with $1,000 to start. Like … Read more

microscope, medicine, science, research

President Ends Federal Funding for Research That Uses Human Fetal Tissue From Elective Abortions

President Trump has set the abortion lawyers in motion again. At his direction, DHHS will no longer initiate any new contracts for research that uses human fetal tissue from elective abortions.

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Hospitals Win $3 Billion in 7-1 Decision Over DHHS

The case: On Monday hospitals won at the Supreme Court. In Azar v. Allina Health Services which is a Medicare case with potentially wider implications for administrative law the justices came to a 7-1 decision. The ruling in this case provides a statutory interpretation analysis saying little about administrative law or Medicare. The issue… The … Read more

Guest Post: Vote NO on HB 664, a NH Vaccine Tax Assessment

From Laura Condon – Vote NO on HB 664, a NH Vaccine Tax Assessment  (via Facebook)

There is a little-known vaccine tax assessment bill, HB 664 an act relative to the NH Vaccine Association working its way through the NH legislature that will impose a new, limitless tax assessment on every self-insured business and municipality in the state of New Hampshire that would have the effect of imposing an expanded defacto vaccine mandate on all children for all vaccines ever recommended for use, including new, unproven, largely experimental vaccines. This bill should be properly voted down. The bill is now in the senate and needs your urgent attention and is expected to be voted on by the full senate on May 23. Please contact your state senator today by phone and email and ask them to please vote no on HB 664.  

Your senator can be reached here: http://www.gencourt.state.nh.us/Senate/members/senate_roster.aspx

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“Affordable” Care Strikes Again – Spouses and Children Hit Hardest

Obamacare out of money before it starts?Last week I reported on new rules released by the unelected bureaucrats at the IRS.  In the process of defining ‘Affordable,’ for the purpose of enforcing the Affordable Care Act (also known as Obama-Care), families that cannot “afford the employer coverage that they are offered on the job will not be able to get financial assistance from the government to buy private health insurance on their own.”

This week, the unelected bureaucrats at the Department of Health and (in)Human Services announced that as a result of their defining the meaning of affordable, for the purpose of enforcing the Affordable Care Act (also known as Obama-Care), they may not be able to subsidize the difference in costs between some individual and family plans.  If neither the employer nor the employee can afford to cover the difference, spouses and children would go uninsured.

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New Hampshire Democrats Hate Poor People

Democrats are, as a party, against requiring an ID to vote.  Everyone knows that.  They argue that the poor, or minorities will be intimidated, or unable to engage in the electoral process if we expect them to have a photo ID. Not only do you need a picture ID to apply for Food Stamps in … Read more

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