So earlier today here was the curve the Murray Model was projecting as to the need for hospital beds for Coronavirus patients: Here’s what it looks like now: I didn’t screen-shot the death projection today, but here is March 30th’s 351, which was subsequently dropped to 331, which was the projection earlier today: Here is … Read more
Here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 5th … in terms of hospitalizations, 64 more people would be hospitalized in New Hampshire for Coronavirus, bringing the total of hospitalized to 638: DHHS reports a cumulative total of 92 hospitalized. So, the Murray Model is over-projecting hospitalizations by 546 or nearly 7-X. … Read more
THIS POST HAS BEEN UPDATED TO REFLECT DDHS NUMERS RELEASED TODAY. Here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 4th … in terms of hospitalizations, 66 more people would be hospitalized in New Hampshire for Coronavirus, bringing the total of hospitalized to 574: DHHS reports a cumulative total of 86 hospitalized. So, … Read more
So here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 3rd … in terms of hospitalizations, 61 more people would be hospitalized in New Hampshire for Coronavirus, bringing the total of hospitalized to 508: The reality: seven new hospitalizations … 80 hospitalizations in total: So the Murray Model at this point is overestimating … Read more
So here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 2nd … in terms of hospitalizations, 447 people would be in the hospital for Coronavirus: The actual number is at the most 73 people are hospitalized (the number reported by DHHS is “have been hospitalized” so some of the number reported may have … Read more
This: If you have been following my posts, you know the IHME model, which I call the Murray Model, has been massively overestimating the impact of Coronavirus on New Hampshire. Paraphrasing from yesterday’s post, while the Murray Model was predicting 405 would be hospitalized in New Hampshire on April 1, 2020 on account of Coronavirus, … Read more
So here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 1st … in terms of hospitalizations, 405 people would be in the hospital for Coronavirus: The actual number (covidtracking.com) is a total of 59 hospitalized to date: So at a minimum, the Murray Model overestimated needed hospital beds by 346, or 7X. As … Read more
Last night (3/31), at about 11:00 P.M., I posted Murray Model Predicted New Hampshire Would Need Three-Times as Many Hospital Beds Today for Coronavirus Than Number Reported by DHHS. At that time this is what the Murray model said New Hampshire hospitalizations for the Coronavirus would look like: Now, less than twelve hours later, the … Read more
So here is today’s update on Coronavirus from DHHS: So 49 persons in New Hampshire have been hospitalized for Coronavirus. I have no idea … and the DHHS website does not say … if that many remain hospitalized. The actual number of hospitalized today (March 31st) could be much lower. But let’s assume that there … Read more
So, yesterday I posted about the Murray Model’s projections for New Hampshire. Here is what the model was projecting yesterday: I checked this morning and the projections have been drastically revised. Now the model is predicting a peak in less than three weeks, not four weeks. And the mortality prediction has dropped from 351 to … Read more
Last night, I posted about President Trump extending the federal guidelines for another month: But we need to know exactly what model is driving the decision to extend the guidelines. If we are headed into an economic downturn potentially worse than the Great Depression, we better be damn sure that the policies that are leading … Read more
Grokster Ed has been doing yeoman’s work in applying the Charles Murray / IHME model that is being used to set governmental policy (yesterday’s, for example, is here). A number of people are noticing that, just like the climate models (including the favs of the UN’s IPCC), they are running “hot” in that they are … Read more
From the Laconia Daily Sun: Lakes Region General Hospital is furloughing 500 full-time employees, LRGH President and CEO Kevin Donovan said Friday. It will keep its emergency department, critical care and coronavirus treatment services open as it deals with the financial fallout of the pandemic, … The hospital was struggling with a high debt load … Read more
Early on in this circus, we reported on a statement by UK health officials about social distancing. They wanted to impose it and figured one meter would be adequate (no science, by the way) but settled on two-meters. Why? The experts didn’t think their citizens could quite figure out one-meter.
So last night the Murray Model abandoned its doomsday Coronavirus projections for New Hampshire. We had a post up almost as soon as the model was updated: Murray Model Drops Doomsday Projections – No Excuse Left Not to End the Lockdown
Back on March 21st, I posted about a theory by Julie Kelly of American Greatness that Coronavirus has been present in America much earlier than the forecasting models assume. Intuitively, it makes sense. Coronavirus was present in China since at least November, 2019. China never attempted to prevent the virus from spreading beyond its borders … Read more
First, credit where it is due. My title is the title of this piece at Milne News.com. There is simply no better way to describe it. In his State of the Union Address, Mr. Trump was clear when he said, “My Administration will take all necessary steps to safeguard our citizens from this threat.”
This: It’s the job of the press to be asking questions like: “and how do you know that?” And if the answer is: “the Murray model,” to point out that the Murray model has been vastly overestimating the impact of Coronavirus on New Hampshire. But instead we are getting something more along the lines of … Read more
The US Food and Drug Administration has (it seems almost begrudgingly) issued an emergency authorization to allow Hydroxychloroquine and Chloroquine to be prescribed to treat COVID-19 patients.
This is an attempt to “break out” memes, links, and my commentary about the situation in Israel / the Middle East so as to not overload the standard meme posts that I do. My last “normal” meme post. In these Israel-related posts I don’t just have memes such, but lots of informative links as well … Read more