News – Politics – Opinion – Podcasts
Ed Mosca 
So here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 1st … in terms of hospitalizations, 405 people would be in the hospital for Coronavirus: The actual number (covidtracking.com) is a total of 59 hospitalized to date: So at a minimum, the Murray Model overestimated needed hospital beds by 346, or 7X. As … Read more
This: It’s the job of the press to be asking questions like: “and how do you know that?” And if the answer is: “the Murray model,” to point out that the Murray model has been vastly overestimating the impact of Coronavirus on New Hampshire. But instead we are getting something more along the lines of … Read more
This: From the accompanying story, directed to the Superintendent of Corrections for Belknap County: What have you been doing to reduce the jail population? There’s two types of inmates in the county jail. We have sentenced inmates that serve 12 months or less and then pretrial defendants. So I’ve worked with the county attorney and … Read more
Last night (3/31), at about 11:00 P.M., I posted Murray Model Predicted New Hampshire Would Need Three-Times as Many Hospital Beds Today for Coronavirus Than Number Reported by DHHS. At that time this is what the Murray model said New Hampshire hospitalizations for the Coronavirus would look like: Now, less than twelve hours later, the … Read more
So here is today’s update on Coronavirus from DHHS: So 49 persons in New Hampshire have been hospitalized for Coronavirus. I have no idea … and the DHHS website does not say … if that many remain hospitalized. The actual number of hospitalized today (March 31st) could be much lower. But let’s assume that there … Read more
This: The linked “article”, if you want to be kind and call it that, resembles John DiStaso’s “coverage” – essentially cutting and pasting Jeanne Shaheen’s press release and signing your name to it: The grants come on top of $1.25 billion New Hampshire will receive under the Coronavirus Aid Relief and Economic Security Act, the … Read more
So, yesterday I posted about the Murray Model’s projections for New Hampshire. Here is what the model was projecting yesterday: I checked this morning and the projections have been drastically revised. Now the model is predicting a peak in less than three weeks, not four weeks. And the mortality prediction has dropped from 351 to … Read more
This: Meanwhile Scott Gottlieb, whose recommendations apparently are driving the federal government’s response, is talking about August as when we can expect to return to “some elements” of our “normal lives”: If we keep this country on lockdown until July or August, there will be no “normal” to come back to. The economy is not … Read more
Last night, I posted about President Trump extending the federal guidelines for another month: But we need to know exactly what model is driving the decision to extend the guidelines. If we are headed into an economic downturn potentially worse than the Great Depression, we better be damn sure that the policies that are leading … Read more
Today, at the daily White House Coronavirus Press Briefing, President Trump stated that “the peak in death rate” in the coronavirus pandemic “is likely to hit in two weeks,” and said the federal government will be extending its social-distancing guidelines through April 30. Some reaction: Elsewhere I have read that Trump is following the recommendations of … Read more
This: The Governor and his “crack staff” are still getting paid. The owners and employees of businesses that the Governor has deemed “nonessential” are not. I have a feeling they might not find this tweet as cute or funny as the Governor and his “crack staff” apparently find it. Indeed, I have a feeling they … Read more
This is from the COVID Tracking Project: The most current numbers per DHHS are: Before you “OH MY GOD, THE NUMBER OF CASES IS INCREASING BY A FACTOR OF 100 ON A MONTHLY BASIS” … it does not work that way. You have to account for the number of people tested. Working backwards using the … Read more
This, which Melanie tweeted at 3:41 PM yesterday: The $400 million is part of the massive list of PORK that Jeanne Shaheen got added to what was supposed to be a Coronavirus-relief bill by filibustering. All the measures Melanie wants to institute in New Hampshire help Democrats and hurt Republicans. For example, “vote-by-mail” would allow … Read more
So I saw this today: While she has been singing Sununu’s praises, Horn has been getting more and more and more unhinged about Trump. For example, this March 27th tirade where Horn celebrates Trish Regan and Fox parting ways: Or this March 25th mindless rant: Wondering how many voters will associate Chris Sununu with NeverTrump … Read more
This from Associated Press yesterday: Coronavirus cases are expected to peak in New Hampshire sometime between the end of April and early May, the state’s health commissioner told the Executive Council on Wednesday. This “expectation” appears to be based on COVID Act Now, which Steve has posted about, which is based on the Imperial College … Read more
Jeanne Shaheen has been working relentlessly today to rewrite history about why she filibustered the Phase III Conornavirus relief bill and what that filibuster actually achieved. For example: These happen to be the talking points that CryingChuck Schumer directed his Democrats to repeat (source 8:29 AM tweet from @JakeSherman): So let’s take these one by … Read more
The Governor and Executive Council met this morning. Adam Sexton live-tweeted it. Among the tweets: This is most likely wrong. It is likely that COVID-19 has been present in New Hampshire since January, but we had been assuming that it’s the flu because we weren’t looking for COVID-19: We cannot maintain the status quo … Read more
This: Note the “PhD”. I’m sure that’s there so everyone knows that Rep Jackie is much smarter and much more learned than the rest of us, and we should just “shut up and obey” if she tells us to do something. The linked article’s lead author is former State Rep and current Executive Council candidate … Read more
So last night I posted about how Jeanne Shaheen is filibustering the very Coronavirus-relief bill she helped negotiate and write … because Nancy Pelosi decided to use the present and rapidly-growing economic crisis to pass a wish-list of Democrat legislation. When you see what the Democrats want added to the Coronavirus bill, your draw will … Read more
Dear Governor Sununu: So I saw this tweet from Landrigan this morning: If this is true … and there is no delicate way to put this … it is madness. The economy is not a light bulb that can be turned on and off. We are on the precipice of an economic downturn worse than … Read more