Tim has a great chart about political registration – while it is true that it is not all roses blooming for the Republicans, it looks downright nasty for the Democrats. And using that as the foundation, look at this from (yes, again) The Corner:
Obama Three Points Ahead
Among likely voters, President Obama is at 50 percent and Mitt Romney at 47 percent in a new CNN poll. The partisan breakdown is 37 percent Democrat, 34 percent independent, and 29 percent Republican.
This is a perfect example of front loading Democrat participation using a turnout model that just doesn’t exist in the real world. Really, a model that has only 29% Republican? I realize that there is a lot of discussion going on about what the right mix should be – and I will admit that the independent number looks right. The Democrat has a mix that is 8 points higher than the Republicans? Really?
Add this in from Breitbart (emphasis mine):
The AP/GFK poll shows that 31% of likely voters consider themselves Tea Party supporters. With 131 million votes cast in the 2008 elections, that translates into an incredible voting bloc of 41 million Tea Party supporters waiting to cast ballots. These voters have already made their voices heard in Wisconsin earlier this year, as well as in Republican primaries in Texas and Nebraska.
Got that? 41 Million TEA Party voters, some of whom live here in NH. And whom the Democrats here in NH have been insulting over and over and over again. Not a smooth move, dudes and dudettes. Why?
Frankly put, not a whole lot of us are jumping up and down in joy and wild abandon that Mitt is the Republican candidate. We fought tooth and nail during the Primary to get our guy or gal elected. We lost (and I have 25 Herman Cain T-shirts to prove it). We pouted and had a few tears. But now, as Ross Douthart wrote in the NYT, the TEA Party is working hard to get him elected (even as all of the Repub elites and talking heads that were behind him are now kvetching and running away). Why?
They want to be associated with a winner and have no spine; they are afraid that if they “stick”, that loss will be associated with them – they are more concerned with “face” and “rep” than standards and results. TEA Party folks, on the other hand, don’t CARE what others think of them. We have one and only one purpose – beat Obama. If that’s all that the Republican Party can give us as a tool, then a tool is what we will use. We’re not in it to be recognized or lionized or to get our names up in lights. Our single purpose is to relieve him of his Oval Office environs. By whatever.
Our single reason why is this: he is the single worst threat to TEA Party ideals: Free Markets (he wants Government directed markets), Constitutionally bound and limited Government, and fiscal responsibility in that Government. These are complete opposite of the current crop of Democrat Socialists.
And that is why they fear us.
