Data Point – 2012 Presidential Poll

by
Skip

Rasmussen puts out a daily poll on Presidential approval that I have been posting, well, a long time.  If Obama’s numbers keep going in this direction, he’s going to have a very long campaign season – and not a happy one.  A minus 22 means that 22% surpus of likely voters are signaling their disapproval with his performance.  Stated another way, a majority of voters are say (given the background of Obama’s Administrative implemention of the thrice-defeated DREAM Act): “no mas”!

Since his personal likability still remains high, this is showing a repudiation of his policies and where they are taking America.

Since Romney became the presumptive Republican nominee, Rasmussen has also added another chart showing the relative positions of Obama vs Romney.  If I was Obama, this is a chart that I’d be looking to buy a majority share in Maalox:

 

 

This shows, by a wide margin, is that for the latter half of June, Romney is ahead with likely voters.  That last part, likely voters, is very important – that is who Rasmussen polls because they DO show up to vote (as opposed to simply polling “adults” which, as we know, generally don’t vote in large numbers).

Not only this, Intrade is showing a Romney surge in their “political trading”: 

 

 

 

 

 

Just as in sports, go with the guy that’s starting to peak (versus the guy with the bi-modal distribution)…

Author

  • Skip

    Co-founder of GraniteGrok, my concern is around Individual Liberty and Freedom and how the Government is taking that away. As an evangelical Christian and Conservative with small "L" libertarian leanings, my fight is with Progressives forcing a collectivized, secular humanistic future upon us. As a TEA Party activist, citizen journalist, and pundit!, my goal is to use the New Media to advance the radical notions of America's Founders back into our culture.

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