The proxy war in Ukraine appears to be spreading to Niger, where a recent coup d’état ousted President Mohamed Bazoum and sparked a series of events that may lead to a larger regional military conflict.
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France, a long-standing ally of Niger, has condemned the coup. The French Ministry of Foreign Affairs reaffirmed its commitment to press freedom, freedom of expression, and the protection of journalists. This comes after the junta blocked the signals of French broadcaster France 24 and Radio France Internationale.
The move was seen as a direct affront to France and further strained a tense situation.
Meanwhile, Russia, through the Wagner Group with its influence in Africa, seems to be capitalizing on the situation. At the recent Russia-Africa Summit, Vladimir Putin stood next to Ibrahim Traore, the military officer who seized power in Burkina Faso. This act of solidarity with the coup leaders is raising concerns among other African leaders.
The Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) issued an ultimatum to the coup leaders. Reinstate President Bazoum or face military intervention. Nigeria, Senegal, Côte d’Ivoire, and Benin have signaled their readiness to engage in military action if the ultimatum is not respected. But, there is a lack of trust among ECOWAS members, which could hinder a coordinated response.
Burkina Faso, Guinea, and Mali are known as the ‘Coup Association.’ They have pledged to defend Niger against any foreign intervention. These countries are also friendly with Russia and are warning neighboring African states against intervening in Niger’s affairs.
The ousted President, Mr. Bazoum, has called on the international community, particularly the American government, to help restore constitutional order. His plea underscores the consequences of the coup, which includes growing Russian influence propagated by the Wagner Group in the Sahel region.
Diplomatic negotiations are underway to prevent a conflict that could engulf Russia and the West in another proxy war. The stakes are high. The world is watching anxiously as Africa becomes the latest battleground in the struggle for global dominance.
What is apparent is the unfolding crisis in Niger is more than just a civil war or a regional conflict. It’s a complex web of power struggles, alliances, and interests that could ignite a larger, more destructive war.
It’s important for the international community to think through the alternatives.
