2020 Election: It's Not Over Yet! US Senate, US House - Granite Grok

2020 Election: It’s Not Over Yet! US Senate, US House

CNN US House status 2020-11-28

So here we are, 3 1/2 weeks later, and we’re STILL not done with Federal Office elections. We know about how tight the race to control the US Senate is. Georgia’s two Senate races are going to make the difference.

Right now, the Republicans hold 50 seats – they only need ONE of those two to maintain control. If Trump does lose the legal challenges, then Commie Kamala becomes Veep and in that position of being the President of the US Senate, will always cast the deciding vote as the Parties will be tied at 50-50.

What HASN’T gotten all that much newsprint (naturally and for obvious reasons) is the ongoing results in the races for the US House. While I’ve said this before, Nancy Pelosi was expecting to pick up 10-15 MORE seats in the “Blue Wave” that was rumored to have been ready for Nov. 3. Instead, that Blue Wave just turned into, well, the trough of the Red Wave in the House. It is very delicious to actually use the graphic from CNN to show how much of a blowout that the Democrats’ balloon has suffered:

CNN US House status 2020-11-28

One would look at that and go “Blowout, indeed”. And, indeed, with a few exceptions, it shows that the Democrats truly are a bicoastal Party: Northeast, West Coast, Southwestern. And a whole lot of Red in the middle of the country. However, lots of people live in those Blue bastions and we can easily see the reasoning behind the Founder’s vision for the Electoral College in that the same problem, large vs small colonies (soon to be States), had to be handled. The Left complains that the smaller States can outweigh (almost) the big States – my take is that this is goodness to balance the now-massive influence that the concentrated urban areas have over the more distributed populations of rural America.

Sidenote: the Left wants to do away with the E.C. and go to direct Democracy. Here’s an alternative thought: how about voting by “landmass” (see above, Red)?  Heh!

But I digress. So Nancy was thinking of herself as being much more of the Queen of the House than before Nov 3. Instead, she has barely hung onto the Speakership. 218 seats mean the majority ship by a Party and the Dems have 222 thus far – BARELY a majority. They’ve lost 10 seats. The Republicans have GAINED 11 seats

And there are seats left to be decided:

  • 2 in California (most likely will go Republican)
  • 1 in Iowa (really close but the Republican is in the lead)
  • 1 in Louisiana (where two Republicans are leading in that “jungle” runoff)
  • 3 in NY (most likely to Republicans)

So the Republicans can add up to 7 more seats for a total 214. A far better showing than what was expected (even if they lose 2 out of those 7, it’s a respectable 212).

Yes, the Dems will still control the House but they may well find that their members in shaky districts aren’t going to go along with policies and bills that are going to result in their butts being unglued from those seats. Conventional Wisdom is saying that the newly strengthened Rs will have a much better hand at either stopping a few of the really bad stuff and having a bigger hand in the rest (and taking quite the delight in being major pains).

Add to that, here’s to hoping that AOC and her Squad (who may end up with a couple or more hard-Left Socialists joining in their witches brew) keep talking and talking and talking to give Nancy major headaches over the next two years. Many of the moderates are blaming her for their former friends now being outside the comfort of Government life – and AOC is firing back. Please, MORE of this infighting! The more AOC pushes, the easier it may be for some of the Dems to go AWOL or perhaps (under the rubric that a politician’s first task at being one is to get reelected) actually flip Parties. They’d be RINOs for sure but only 4 would have to do so to give Rs the control.

Likely? Who knows? Pelosi is known as one who doesn’t brook any dissent at all (sorta like Ray Buckley here in NH but with even much less humor) – maybe a couple would decide to no longer go along under that totalitarian’s thumb.

4 seats to flip – there’s a reason that even now, just after this election, the Rs are looking to 2022.

 

 

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