UNH Servey Center: "Shaheen and Sununu lead challengers in Reelection Bids" - Granite Grok

UNH Servey Center: “Shaheen and Sununu lead challengers in Reelection Bids”

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DURHAM, NH – Senator Jeanne Shaheen and Governor Chris Sununu hold large leads over their major challengers in their bids for reelection. Shaheen’s leads over Republicans Don Bolduc and Corky Messner have remained steady since February.

Related: Jeanne Shaheen Still Doesn’t Beleive Our Government Spied on the Trump Campaign?

Sununu also has maintained wide leads over Democratic challengers Dan Feltes and Andru Volinsky.

These findings are based on the latest Granite State Panel survey, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Two thousand twenty-two (2,022) Granite State Panel members completed the survey online between July 16 and July 28, 2020. Included were one thousand eight hundred and ninety-three (1,893) likely 2020 general election voters. Data were weighted by respondent sex, age, education, and region of the state to targets from the most recent American Community Survey (ACS) conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau, as well as party registration levels provided by the New Hampshire Secretary of State. The Granite State Panel is part of an effort by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center to investigate new ways of gathering and understanding the opinion of New Hampshire residents. Granite State Panel members are recruited from randomly-selected landline and cell phone numbers across New Hampshire and surveys are sent periodically to panel members.

For complete press release and detailed tabular results, please click: https://scholars.unh.edu/survey_center_polls/599/

I clicked on over to catch some main points (reformatted, emphasis mine):

US Senate Race:

  • Against retired General Don Bolduc:
    • Of likely New Hampshire voters 54% Shaheen, 35% – Bolduc,  10% – don’t know or are undecided.
    • Shaheen’s 19 percentage point lead over Bolduc is slightly wider than it was in June (12 percentage points).
  • Attorney Corky Messner:
    • Of likely New Hampshire voters 54% Shaheen, 35% – Messner,  11% don’t know or are unsure.
    • Shaheen’s 19 percentage point lead over Messner is also slightly wider than it was in June (13 percentage points).

Name recognition (or lack thereof) is mentioned as a factor.

NH Governor: Sununu holds large leads over two Democratic challengers.

  • Against NH State Senator Dan Feltes:
    • Of likely New Hampshire voters 59% Sununu, 28% – Feltes,  12% don’t know or are undecided.
    • Sununu holds a 31 percentage point lead over Feltes and has maintained a wide lead since February
  • Against Executive Councilor Andru Volinsky,
    • Of likely New Hampshire voters 58% Sununu, 29% – Volinsky, 12% – don’t know or are undecided.
    • Sununu holds a 28 percentage point lead over Volinsky, down from a 40 point lead in June.
    • Sununu’s leads over both Feltes and Volinsky are nearly double the size of the leads he held over prospective opponents Molly Kelly and Steve Marchand during the summer of 2018.

Hmm:

  • Sununu holds very large leads over Feltes and Volinsky among self-identified Republicans and Independents, while Feltes holds only a 28 point lead over Sununu among Democrats and Volinsky holds only a 34 point lead.
  • Sununu holds a small lead over Feltes among those aged 18 to 34 while Volinsky holds a small lead over Sununu among this age group.

Selfish Socialist Volinsky is tapping into what our Education system is handing to him, yes?

At the link, there’s a chart showing that Sununu’s Favorability started dropping (page 5) quickly – I wonder if that is due to Conservatives just tired of being Ruled by Fiat and doing their “pre-vote” to show it?