The “government has got to do something crowd” has some explaining to do. The CDC is reporting that the odds of dying from the Coronvoris SARS CoV2 from COVID-19 if you are symptomatic, it’s really low. I mean, really, really low.
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We’re talking about if you can catch it or how you might catch it or if you have had it and did not know. This data is real-world, CDC, odds of dying if you have symptoms research.
The columns represent scenarios 1 – 5 (explained here), with five being the current best estimate of reality, in Bold, far right.
| Symptomatic Case Fatality Ratio, stratified by age in years source: Preliminary COVID-19 estimates, CDC |
0-49: 0.0002 |
0-49: 0.0002 |
0-49: 0.001 |
0-49: 0.001 |
0-49: 0.0005 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
50-64: 0.001 |
50-64: 0.001 |
50-64: 0.006 |
50-64: 0.006 |
50-64: 0.002 |
|
|
65+: 0.006 |
65+: 0.006 |
65+: 0.032 |
65+: 0.032 |
65+: 0.013 |
|
|
Overall: 0.002 |
Overall: 0.002 |
Overall: 0.010 |
Overall: 0.010 |
Overall: 0.004 |
If you are 0-49 years old and have symptoms your odds of dying are 0.0005
If you are 50-64 years old and have symptoms your odds of dying are 0.002
If you are 65 or older and have symptoms your odds of dying are 0.013
Overall average? 0.004.
Remember, we shut down the economy (and continue to handicap it) because we didn’t know what to expect. We know now. These are real-world results even if and with any padding (real or imagined) for the cause of death with COVID but not from COVID.
It’s incredibly low.
A number that will get even lower as more people are identified as having it or having had it without symptoms which, I expect, will turn out to be most of us.
#ReopenNH
CDC Report
