Nashua has around 90,000 people in it, give or take, making it the second largest collection of people in a municipality in the state of New Hampshire. As of June 2026, 46,917 of them are registered to vote. As you’d expect, Dems have a registration advantage, but something has happened since 2024.
Based on data mined from the city records, Democrats enjoyed a 5,278-vote registration advantage in 2024 with 50,401 total registered voters, 17,290 of them Democrat. 12,012 were registered Republicans, and 21,099 were undeclared.
As of June 2026, the Dem registration advantage has shrunk to 1,702 with 14,504 Dems, 12,802 Republicans, and 19,611 undeclared. Republicans added nearly 800 registrations while Democrats lost 2,786, with undeclared registrations declining by 1,488.
There are 3,484 fewer registered voters in the Gate City, and you’d be right to wonder why, alongside the red shift in party registration. Nashua is reliably blue and has very little reason to tell the wing-nut army to change registration to meddle in the primaries, but if it did, you’d see undeclareds go up, not down. We don’t have closed primaries, so that’s not uncommon in purple places or somewhere you might be able to gain an advantage by helping select a weaker primary opponent.
These numbers don’t support that.
And if we look ward by ward, even after the shift, assuming no other change (which would be crazy), Dems have a registration advantage in every Ward but Ward 6, but none of them is significant enough that turnout can’t affect the outcome. If Ward 6 Republicans don’t show up, Dems can overcome the 72-vote registration advantage easily. By the same token, Wards 1, 7, 8, and 9 could be red if a few hundred more Republicans turn up than Democrats (assuming the undeclared’s split, which they don’t, but for the sake of argument).
With a decent ground game and ongoing division on the left, Republicans could displace that Machiavellian Narcissistic psychopath, Jim Donchess. And wouldn’t that be fun? The new mayor could try to release all the documents that Laure Ortolano has been trying to pry out of the city for the past few years, the bizarre Arts Center funding scheme, and the rest of it.
Make Public documents public again. Return Transparency to City Hall. Save taxpayers millions by not forcing citizens to sue to get them. I’m not sure Nashua is ready yet, but something happened, and it wasn’t just illegally registered illegals self-deporting.
And yes, that could all change by November, and it likely will, but if the Nashua Republican ever had a reason to get out and register more Republicans or to just get out the vote, this would be it. Midterms are not etched in stone and certainly not at the local level.
