If you live in New England, and maybe this is true everywhere, you can’t trust the weather forecast more than a day or two out. The joke in the northeast is that if you don’t like the weather, wait five minutes. And it’s all fun and games until you talk about climate change – by which I mean the global warming narrative. Tomorrow remains something of a mystery, but ten, fifty, or even one hundred years from now, they’ve got it nailed (plus or minus a degree or two).
Nonsense, obviously, but to a lot of “wait five minutes” Northeastern Dems, it is their Revelations. The end times, only in their version, if we tithe enough to the government, we can save the planet. More nonsense, but it’s a cult, and every year the cult pines for another Hurricane Katrina, Sandy, or worse. Massive property destruction, loss of life, and a chance to tell FEMA to ignore homes with Trump signs in the yard.
Bad Samaritans who should wait five minutes, which is where we are in the 2025 Hurricane season. September is typically the peak, with September tenth being the date where we see the most storms and tornadoes, but not this year. There were none. Zilch. Big donut.
Despite the global heat wave (there isn’t one) and record ocean temperatures (a few decades on a planet that’s billions of years old), Mother Nature isn’t cooperating.
The major storm was Erin, which got to Category 5 for a hot minute before wandering around a bit as a much lesser entity. No landfall. Tropical Storm Barry made a mess in Texas, which got the cult all worked up. There were plenty of bad Samaritans dancing in the streets, announcing how people who died from a flash flood deserved it. But what can you expect from the death cult?
So, we’re knee deep in the season and we’ve still got half of September and all of October, and November, but hurricanes that late are rare – there have been six in the last 125 years. October is a nasty month (31 on record) with September holding the lead at 37.
So, what’s out there now?
We’ve got two brewing in the Atlantic Basin, with a high probability of cyclone formation.
Will they, like most of their predecessors, get lost in the Middle of the Atlantic? Will windshear destroy them before they can threaten the Caribbean or the continent? Is Florida or the Gulf about to get pounded? Literally no one knows.
And that’s the issue.
As it stands, we should expect a few storms in September and October. Maybe nasty ones. Perhaps an actual landfall. We’ve had a few ugly surprises late into the season, but as things wind down, no one knows, can know, or will know, until it happens.
The idea that they can guess anything further into the future or its cause with a few decades of data, even without the incentive to fudge their results to chase grants and funding, is absurd.
They are guessing and quite often, with ulterior motives.
UPDATE
Invest 92L is not a tropical depression, and is expected to form a hurricane by Sunday.
None of the current spaghetti models predict landfall, with it wandering the Atlantic until it loses energy like many of the storms this year that preceded it.
