“There was a Shepherd Boy who tended his sheep at the foot of a mountain near a dark forest. It was lonely for him, so he devised a plan to get a little company. He rushed down towards the village calling out “Wolf, Wolf,” and the villagers came out to meet him. This pleased the boy so much that a few days after he tried the same trick, and again the villagers came to his help. Shortly after this a Wolf actually did come out from the forest. The boy cried out, “Wolf, Wolf,” still louder than before. But this time the villagers, who had been fooled twice before, thought the boy was again lying, and nobody came to his aid.”
The moral of Aespo’s fable is that a liar will not be believed even when telling the truth. The modern-day corollary of which is, unless they’ve got a lot of money and bandwidth to sell the lie. And they do. Last year the experts and their media homonculi tossed “antarctic sea ice” into the fearmongering machine and worked it harder than a male prostitute when the navy is in town.
Last year on July 27, academics announced that Antarctic sea ice extent was the lowest in 7.5 billion years, and that “vast regions of the Antarctic coastline were ice free for the first time in the observational record.”
Another rend-times observation whose only sure is trillions of dollars in other people’s money, some of which ends up in the hands of people tasked with making similar predictions until further notice.
Physical oceanographer Edward Doddridge has been communicating with scientists and the community about the drastic changes happening around Antarctica.
He said vast regions of the Antarctic coastline were ice free for the first time in the observational record.
“To say unprecedented isn’t strong enough,” Dr Doddridge said.
“For those of you who are interested in statistics, this is a five-sigma event. So it’s five standard deviations beyond the mean. Which means that if nothing had changed, we’d expect to see a winter like this about once every 7.5 billion years.
Observant and persistent pain in the side of this cabal, Tony Heller took note, saving it for a snowy South Pole winter day. Several of them, actually. He recently shared imagery of the current state of Antarctic sea ice after a geologically insignificant twelve months post-five-sigma event.
Remarkably unremarkable except that this too might be – all things being equal – a five sigma recovery event. A perhaps one in 7.5 billion year reversal of a one in 7.5 billion year event that is, I’m certain, easily explained away and a result of how badly western comfort has bolloxed the climate. By which, I mean the ample sums of idle wealth available to be directed at experts like Dr Doddridge.
