FiveThirtyEight keeps showing us the polls that have President Asterisk in the mid to low 50% approval range. If that’s true, ‘Splain this?
Enthusiasm Gap
Even Bernie Can’t Get His Bros Excited About Biden
In the early days of October, Bernie Sanders came to the Granite State to Campaign for Joe Biden. Bernie has a lot of Granite State Groupies. Folks who would show up to see him regardless of why he was here. But they didn’t show up.
13% Enthusiasm Gap – 24 point Swing with Independents from 2008 to 2012
News this morning shows Republicans with a wide enthusiasm gap over Democrats. For the time being it gives them a 13% advantage in likely voting. At the same time Independents, who broke 52-44 for Obama in 2008 are now more likely to vote Republican by a margin of 51-35. Obama has lost 24% of Independents … Read more
Quick take – enthusiasm gap in Gilford
Turnout was actually pretty good in my town yesterday, Primary Day here in NH. There was a contentious issue in this town of 7,400- the purchase of yet another fire truck, to replace an engine that seemed not to get the correct maintenance, at the cost of $500,000. This was an issue that was voted down during the regular town meeting but the Spenders in town decided not only that a used truck was “just not good enough,” but that they weren’t going to listen to the will of the people, and got a judge to authorize a Special Town Meeting to vote on the issue again – the proverbial “second bite of the apple”.
It lost by 10 votes in reaching a 60% majority – so it is dead and gone until the next regular Town Meeting. Good. It may be nice to have the best of everything but there is a cost to be borne – and some in Town have no cares about those who cannot continue to match the taxes for their spending.
At the same time, however, it showed a real soft underbelly for the upcoming November election – at least in my town; there is an enthusiasm gap between the democrats and the Republicans. Here’s a quick chart of the races and a comparison of the turnout: