Hurricane Season is finally perking up a notch. We’ve gone from a few tropical depressions to one named tropical storm to one actual hurricane. Beryl is currently a Category 3, north of French Guiana and Suriname.
Its current track, unfortunately for the fearmongering media, will take it across Grenada, just south of Jamaica, where it begins to lose strength. Beryl’s projection ends at the Yucatan Peninsula as a Cat 1. – no US landfall.
But it’s a hurricane, damn it. It took the entire month of June, but we’ve got one with two other depressions percolating, one of them with a high probability of needing a name itself (perhaps my other brother, Beryl?). The promise of an active season is upon us, but you know that. We’ve been reporting it for months. That’s not what this is about. We’re here to talk about the media filter of said hurricane.
Not just a Cat 3 or Cat 4 hurricane but a, Very, Extremely Dangerous version of those. As if that were not ever the case before?
The hyperbole is, I suppose, expected; they have, after all, been forced to wait nearly four weeks for anything remotely capable of earning the words very this or that. It’s all very amusing. Not the hurricane, of course; those things can get nasty, but the hutspah. As if they’re so good at climate and prediction in general, we should all drop our tea and shout, good heavens!
Beryl is now only the third Category 3 hurricane ever recorded in the Atlantic in June, following Audrey in 1957 and Alma in 1966, hurricane specialist and storm surge expert Michael Lowry said.
What was the atmospheric concentration of CO2 in 1957 or 1966? It’s not a concern or even on their radar, which is of no consequence and unworthy of mention, especially since, OMG! Beryl is the first Cat 4 in that region ever recorded. All that means is that there could have been one before records were kept. It’s like that hottest hotness ever problem. Aside from almost never being true, it is an impossible lie to defend. We know the earth has been hotter and for longer just not as part of the modern or satellite record.
Related: Inconvenient Science – Warming Leads to Fewer Hurricane Landfalls
You might as well say yours is the biggest penis you’ve ever seen, having never seen any other. Or, maybe you have, but it’s been ninety years, and we are meant to 1) believe you and 2) believe it means what you say.
The storm has already set the record for the easternmost hurricane to form in the Tropical Atlantic in June, beating a previous record set in 1933.
I think, as a courtesy, the SeeOhTwoasauraus should be required to report how much carbon dioxide is in the “air” when they do crap like this. It was around 250 ppm in 1933 which suggests the trigger isn’t what they will continue to claim. It’s something else and there are a lot of somethings at play.
The other thing missing from the hyperbolic “very” headlines is how very likely it is that Beryl might be a Cat 1 before it reaches the Yucatan. I couldn’t find that anywhere. As in, “very uncommon Hurricane projected to lose almost all of its energy before it reaches Mexico.” Or, “Beryl is strong now but likely to lose a lot of punch before landfall.”
Well, heck, why bother to even read about that? Nothing to see here unless you live in Grenada or Jamaica.
We don’t know if that’s how it will pan out or if Beryl will stick to its current trajectory (maybe reach Cat5?) because the prediction game is precarious a few days out, which—again—begs us to wonder how they can feel so certain about anything ten, twenty, or fifty years along. They can’t. But there is a lot of money and much in the way of political advantage in anything that sustains the hysteria.
Another problem they invented. An irrefutable hypothesis that is justified by everything because that’s the only way to keep the green rolling in and the fear rolling out,
None predicted yet, but we’ve got four months, which, as you know, leaves us plenty of time for more hysteria absent any context. And there’s a tropical depression right behind and plenty of potential behind that.
It’s a big year for hurricanes. just remember, we’ve been quiet for a very long time. This was due.
