It’s Almost August and The Hurricane Forecast is in Trouble

by
Steve MacDonald

June was a bust, and July is not helping if you NOAA what I mean. Hurricane activity so far – considering all the hyperbolic ranting about global warming and super-heated oceans, has been sparse. A handful of ‘disturbances,’ no hurricanes, and only two tropical storms, neither of which has amounted to anything.

Cindy barely managed to rise to a tropical storm (TS) before petering north of the Dominican. Don drifted in circles around the central Atlantic and then petered out (sorry, Peter). None of the four named “cells” have been name-worthy, but if you don’t name a few, you’ll never get to use the names. Someone went to a lot of trouble to make a list and check it twice, share it with the press, and make lousy predictions to go with it.

They need something to happen. We wouldn’t want to wade into September with Arlene, which I never saw (by the way), or Bret, who died before he escaped the West Coast of Africa.

Given all the uncontrollable chest pounding about how hot the globe is, the Carribean should look like a conga line of storms waiting to deliver Gaia’s revenge for all these decades of easy Western living. Cheap gas and affordable electricity, along with all the comfort and prosperity it can create. People lifted from poverty—global commerce. To borrow from Saint Greta of the broken planet, “How dare you?”.

Over in the Pacific, TS Clavin took a stroll across the south side of the Hawaiian Islands. You might not have noticed with all the Canadian wood smoke sent as revenge for the alleged acid rain in the 1990s, which suggests that it does rain in Canada, just not anymore. All the rain stops at the border, which is better than I can say for illegals coming the other way. Northern New England knows about rain, and global warming is to blame for some, too much and not enough. It is also responsible for AIDS, toenail fungus, myocarditis, COVID, ED, snow, no snow, and perhaps Joe Biden. All man-made disasters that have nothing at all to do with CO2 or the weather.

As for hurricanes, peak season doesn’t arrive until mid-August, so there is still time for the Left to cry wolf. And we do have a new disturbance with some promise.

 

 

It only takes one decent storm to set them off, as you know, even though the number and frequency have shown resistance to the hyperbolic ranting of grant-wielding climate whores swearing your emissions are making the weather more dangerous—a claim with a caveat with an addendum (emphasis in the original).

 

Alarmists admit there’s no upward trend in hurricane frequency but argue that greenhouse gases are causing more extreme category 4 and 5 hurricanes. However, any examination of the path where hurricanes intensify, begs the question: if a warming ocean drives more intense hurricanes, why are most hurricanes low intensity tropical storms while over warm tropical surface waters, but intensify as they migrate northward to cooler surface waters?

 

Researchers published in Nature – not known for its right-wing conspiracy theories or publishing anything people accused of being right-wing tend to think, disagree.

 

We find that recorded century-scale increases in Atlantic hurricane and major hurricane frequency, and associated decrease in USA hurricanes strike fraction, are consistent with changes in observing practices and not likely a true climate trend. After homogenization, increases in basin-wide hurricane and major hurricane activity since the 1970s are not part of a century-scale increase but a recovery from a deep minimum in the 1960s–1980s.

 

 

 

The Party of Science, its grant-wielding scientistas, and climate-cult-funded scientism aren’t interested in it if it does not advance their partisan economic and political agenda.

There has been a rise in troublesome storms, but they are not in the Atlantic. Look inside the DC beltway and far too many state capitals to find the cyclone of waste, fraud, and abuse doing business as climate mitigation. The process of robbing you to pay their allies to peddle questionable theories for which theirs are the only cure with a predictable outcome. All of their other “wars” (drugs, poverty, discrimination, racism) have made matters worse; this one is no different unless by different you mean the net worth of the pimps working them, in which case it’s the same.

 

 

 

Author

  • Steve MacDonald

    Steve is a long-time New Hampshire resident, blogger, and a member of the Board of directors of The 603 Alliance. He is the owner of Grok Media LLC and the Managing Editor of GraniteGrok.com, a former board member of the Republican Liberty Caucus of New Hampshire, and a past contributor to the Franklin Center for Public Policy.

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