Very interesting analysis of the 2022 midterms at Real Clear Politics. In a nutshell, all the reasons we have been given for the anticipated “red wave” turning into a red ripple … e.g., “bad candidates,” “Trump,” “abortion,” blah, blah, blah are bullish*t.
What really happened is the Democrats successfully targeted eight States … INCLUDING NEW HAMPSHIRE … which acted as “breakwater” transforming the wave into a ripple:
The Breakwater Theory contends that (1) national conditions and public opinion provided a strong basis for the development of a formidable red wave; (2) the red wave had formed with strong Republican prospects in both congressional and state elections; and (3) the expected red wave was not realized because Democrats constructed a breakwater preventing the full force of the red wave from hitting shore. The construction of the Democrats’ breakwater was the result of the confluence of the Democrats’ means, motives, and opportunities.
And here is what I find key:
Finally, the means. Two factors combined to provide Democrats with the means to exploit these opportunities. The first was the prevalence of Democrat-friendly easy and early mail-in voting rules in the Breakwater States. The second was the enormous amount of financial support available to Democrats to fund extensive mobilization campaigns in these states – boosting the turnout of Democratic voters who likely would otherwise not vote. The already in-place candidate, party, and supporting organizations, important to earlier Democratic electoral success in these states, also likely contributed an important platform for mounting this mobilization effort.
The article acknowledges that New Hampshire does NOT have the same “early mail-in voting rules” as other “breakwater States” … WHICH MEANS THAT the NH-Communists (aka NH-Democrats) advantage in mobilizing voters was why the State remained solidly BLUE (sorry, bitter-clingers but I do not consider Sun-King Sununu a real Republican … he’s actually a Democrat who is heretical on a few issues).
In other words, this article is saying what I have been saying … 2022 was a disaster for NH-Republicans because Democrats worked SMARTER and worked HARDER than they did. AND, tragically, the NH-GOP Establishment has learned NOTHING from the shellacking … case in point: “Leader” Jason Osborne continues to bloviate how “top of the ticket” is all that matters.
AND … in the interest of completeness … what also likely contributed to the debacle in 2022 was Sun-King Sununu’s COVID-tyranny and embrace of WOKE causing an exodus of Red voters and an influx of Blue voters.
