A few hours ago, Skip shared NOAA’s predictions for the summer weather – above Average temps and normal or slightly above for precipitation. And this is where I remind everyone how bad NOAA is at this.
Political science has taken over at the agency, so it is difficult to take anything they say seriously – and recent failures do not help matters. They totally blew last year’s hurricane forecast and then guessed wrong again for most of their winter prediction. If NOAA’s confidence is high, yours should be low, at least around here, especially given the El Nino situation.
We’ve been expecting it, the El Nino, and it’s coming, but there’s no conclusive data one way or the other to show us what that means for weather in New England. None I can find. But the warnings and the big red-brown-yellow maps are on the loose, and that means Climate Cult Zombies and their digital sandwich boards predicting the end of the world on every virtual street corner.
The end of the world unless you give them your property. A sort of personal belongings drought that never ends. And on the subject of drought, New Hampshire is still in one of its wettest periods in history which suggests – using their science – that higher CO2 concentrations equal less drought (more rain), but that’s not entirely accurate.
Let’s look at the entire country from 1895 to 2023. There is (net) zero evidence of any relationship between the “emissions” and how wet or dry it is.
The CO2 line would be an upward-angled curve from the bottom left (Jan 1895) to the top right (Apr 2023): nearly 130 years of “climate” data and no correlation. But in reality, Fake news, CNN is all in on the El Nino scaremongering.
Scientists consider 1.5 degrees of warming as a key tipping point, beyond which the chances of extreme flooding, drought, wildfires and food shortages could increase dramatically. https://t.co/k3FwSnhIQ6
— CNN (@CNN) May 17, 2023
I don’t spend much time reacting to that sort of Twitter garbage, but I couldn’t resist.
I remember when a rise of 1.0 Degree C was the end of the world (2005)? We passed that, and nothing happened, so they moved the goalposts.https://t.co/egOrGnYt9M https://t.co/SMeBLEeORs
— Steve Mac Donald (@TheRealNHSteve) May 19, 2023
The fact that the “earth” has warmed 4.0C since 1750 without anything going sideways is also mentioned at that link which means we’ve come a long way during our interglacial, but odds are swinging back the other way. So, when you’ll need cheap, abundant energy more than ever, the Climate Cult’s political allies are working overtime to limit access.
And much like NOAA’s predictive ability, there’s no science to it. It is wild conjecture, and since NOAA is hit or miss most of the time just a few months out, the failure rate any further into the future is exponentially ridiculous, as is basing any policy on it.
So, yes, we’ll be watching to see how badly they called it, with the caveat that even a stopped clock is right twice a day.
