Another week and another loser week for Sununu with respect to his place in the “podium crowd” – still at the bottom part of the pack:
Well, he did do a bit better than he did last week: 1% this week vs 0.7% last week (moving from Also Ran to Tier 3, barely).
Roughly for the others (rounded):
- Trump – down 3
- DeSantis – up 3 (and just formally announced)
- Pence – down 3
- Haley – up a tenth
- Ramaswamy – down 1
- Scott – down 2 tenths
- Youngkin – he announced he’s not running
- Sununu – see above
- Christie – down 2 tenths
- Elder – down 8 tenths
- Hutchinson – down 7 tenths (I guess others are asking “WHY???”)
I know I was going to go to bi-weeklies but since Steve posted the interim results from our (unscientific) poll, it was worth a few words. Remember, our targeted audience is the thousands of activists on the Conservative/Libertarian Right, so our results skew differently than the above national results. And I was a bit surprised at how much:
Ramaswamy – 41.59%
DeSantis – 24.14%
Trump -17.60%
Sununu – 16.29%
Haley – 0.12%
Scott – 0.07%
Hutchinson – 0.07%
Noem – 0.07%
Pence – 0.03%
Christie – 0.02%
I’m not surprised at the top four – I AM surprised at Vivek’s lead at the time of his post! However, NH is THE Retail Politics State, and make no mistake, he’s putting in the effort, the time, and the money (those direct mailers ain’t cheap!). I do say that in meeting him twice, and watching reports of him in the blogosphere as I go surfing about, it’s clear that he has the pulse of the Base right now and is forming a strong bond with us.
I was also a bit surprised that DeSantis leads Trump by 4. And being a scion of the NH dynastic family, being an Executive Councilor and long-term (for NH) Guv, that has to be disappointing – being beaten three ways to Sunday by outsiders INCLUDING an “Unknown”.
In part, I think this is because:
- We, the Conservative Base, know Sununu, who he really is, and know that he looks at us with disgust (Ed’s post that he expects us to SURRENDER! to the Democrats in the Culture war). He can’t fool us and he’s written us (who always vote in the Primary) off.
- He’s also “phoning it” at home while Vivek is working rings around him (Roadrunner vs Wile Coyote)
It’s also clear that the campaign doesn’t see us as “necessary” so we have no internal pipeline to tap into. However, rumors are that IF it happens, Sununu’s announcement is imminent. We’ll see.
It’s still not a good look for him to be fourth in his own Stae.
