If you missed it, the Democrat National Committee is about to move its First in the Nation Presidential Primary out of New Hampshire and into South Carolina. New Hampshire’s primary would follow a week later on the same day as Nevada’s. But that’s not what’s going to happen.
Republicans have no plans to abandon New Hampshire as their first in the Nation primary, and the Granite State will be holding it. State law requires NH to hold that primary a week before any other scheduled presidential primary, so if the DNC says SC on January 30th, 2024, New Hampshire’s will be on January 23rd.
Short of a law change, and that’s not happening, the Democrats in New Hampshire (and Iowa) are F==ked!
The committee, in a voice vote, approved the move on Friday with only the members from Iowa and New Hampshire opposing the change. The new calendar will be put to a vote of the full DNC in February 2023.
South Carolina has significantly more Delegates to win (54), with Nevada (36) also eclipsing New Hampshire (24). And it’s not just Delegates up for grabs. The Candidates themselves will come under significant scrutiny concerning where they campaign. South Carolin is a Diversity and Equity “hire.”
If any of them try to spend more time here than warranted (because both primaries will be the week before, whether the DNC or NH Dems like it or not), they’ll get the stink eye from the DNC and every minority group you can name that wants some attention (and don’t they all?).
It gets worse.
With more delegates in Nevada and no threat of them being sanctioned by the DNC, it makes more sense to campaign in Nevada.
It gets worse.
New Hampshire Democrats who typically crowd around contenders and promote the primary could subject themselves to the same stink eye.
It gets worse.
The gobs of money that once poured into the hands of Dem Chair Buckley, his ‘Crats,’ and the assorted “non-partisan” partisan Lefty groups will dry up a bit and maybe a lot. Without a legitimate primary, they stand to lose money, primary delegates, prestige, connections, and influence.
And what can the media do? They’ll be here for the GOP, but will it be bad form to recognize the Dems who show up for a racist primary among mostly white people?
No idea, but it will be fun to watch.
And Republicans will not have any of these issues while benefitting from being able to hoist the Dems on their own Diversity petard.
One negative note. If there’s no point in Dems voting for a candidate in their primary, they’ll register as independents to mess with the Republican primary. And we do not have the votes to change our state to a closed primary, not that they would if they could. With most voters registered as undeclared, there’s not much incentive to piss everyone off -including all the Libertarians.
And what if we had a closed primary and more than a few of them decide to pick a side, and we manage to help push a more liberty-minded Republican into first place?
I’d still expect a cluster, but most of it will be on the left, and that makes me smile.
