This from Erick Erickson early this morning:
This is one of the “most watched bellweather” races this cycle. The celebrity of Dr. Oz vs a “hasn’t done much” Lt. Gov Fetterman has been one to watch. Like a lot of races that Democrats were supposed to win, the Republicans (like Bolduc and Leavitt here in NH) have been catching up. Can’t hurt to finally be on top of the poll on election day.
The problem for Oz, however, is that PA has early voting and many did vote before the infamous debate between the two of them happened just a little bit ago. Look, I am far from being the guy that’s going to make fun of someone who has suffered a stroke and hasn’t fully recovered – and that’s what was on full display during that debate and in numerous campaign events. But in what I have seen, Fetterman is not capable at the present time to serve. It looks like voters in PA have finally realized this.
It does feel like, at least nationally, there is a late breaking Preference Cascade happening and it isn’t for the Democrats. “Extremists” and “Abortion” and “Our Democracy!” as campaign slogans only go so far as you’re hauling out yet another credit card to pay for gas and groceries.
If this poll is correct (and yes, most polls have been rather crappy lately, so pounds of salt, folks), it may well be an interesting night.