The University of Minnesota has a Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy (CIDRAP). It is releasing a report with new preliminary findings on the coronavirus. The research report is predicting the coronavirus could be around for a while. Longer than initial projections, potentially two years.
According to the study the viral pandemic could continue a 1- to 2-year period. And that’s not including different waves that may occur in certain areas. The basis of the researchers’ projection is information currently available about the coronavirus. They have integrated the coronavirus information with findings from 8 previous major pandemics.
Coronavirus has a highly contagious nature. Significantly it has an ability to spread through asymptomatic carriers. These 2 characteristics make it very difficult to contain. The report also notes people may have a higher chance of infecting others before they begin to show symptoms.
The report reads: “The virus caught the global community off guard, and its future course is still highly unpredictable; there is no crystal ball to tell us what the future holds and what the ‘end game’ for controlling this pandemic will be…”
The much-awaited first report in our “COVID-19: The CIDRAP Viewpoint” series has just been published: “The future of the COVID-19 pandemic: lessons learned from pandemic influenza” lays out several potential #pandemic scenarios.
The report also notes that 60% to 70% of the population “may need to be immune to reach a critical threshold of herd immunity to halt the pandemic.”
CIDRAP director Mike Osterholm talked about the figure with CNN. “This thing’s not going to stop until it infects 60 to 70 percent of people… The idea that this is going to be done soon defies microbiology.”
The latest study on the coronavirus follows a string of reports. They chronicle testing and clinical studies on possible drugs under development as a vaccine for the virus.
Fauci to the rescue… someday… maybe… if we are good little sheeple
Thursday, Dr. Fauci offered remarks about a “placebo-controlled, randomized trial” of Remdesivir. If all goes according to plan, Fauci estimates vaccination doses could be available in January 2021. The infectious disease research now tells us coronavirus will be around for years to come.
It confirms what commonsense has been saying right along. Herd immunity is our best option. It is time to start coming out from under our beds. The boogey man is the coronavirus. It is a very contagious flu. We cannot cure it. We cannot vaccinate against it. Herd immunity is all that’s left. How do we get there most quickly with the fewest deaths?