Hurricane Beryl came on strong, degraded to a tropical storm, and then managed to get back to CAT 1 before it hugged the Texas Coast. Landfall Hurricane! The Climate Cult can’t help itself. Global Warming, Global Warming. Really? Global? Let’s take a look at that.
As a reminder, everyone, including us, expects a nasty Atlantic hurricane season this year. Accumulated cyclonic energy, hurricane landfalls, it’s all been on the down low in the Atlantic for too long and we are due. No matter. Everything proves the unimpeachable hypothesis. Beryl was their popular blonde from day one. Formed Early and reached Cat 4 (Wait, 5!). It’s that super-heated Atlantic basin! Quick aside about that, if interested, but trigger warning: the correlation has nothing to do with CO2 or why India can burn coal while we can’t). Global Something!
Global. Global, you say: reformatted, emphasis mine.
The Pacific Basin is much larger than the Atlantic and has almost 4 times the Accumulated Cyclonic Energy Index of the Atlantic. ( 432). The Atlantic Basin averages 122. So, if you want to use tropical cyclones as a barometer of how bad it is getting, how come the last 4 years have found the Pacific so far below normal ( last year did reach an average ACE in the west Pac, but a near record low number of storms).
After all, the water is so warm, So why is the western Pacific 25% of the average, the eastern Pacific 0%, and perhaps on the way to breaking the record for the latest development? ( The West Pac was a top 5 late development this year).
And why aren’t we hearing about this?
Globally, we are at 75% of average, and even tho I expect the hyper-Atlantic season, I don’t think it will be enough to take the global Ace above average. There has been no increase in this, and the lowering overall is to be expected. Tropical cyclones are nature’s way of taking heat off to the tropics and redistributing it to the temperate regions.
I have been arguing for 2 decades that a warming world is not the harbinger of an orgy of attacks, as only one basin is liable to be active. What is the need for hyperactivity if the heat is already distributed? The warmer north waters change the global wind oscillation, sea level pressure, and vertical velocity patterns, arguing for less, not more, activity. T
he Atlantic, a much smaller basin, can take up some of the slack. The configuration of the cold La Nina, the very warm Main Development region, and the colder water off the US southeast coast will cause the focus to create the storms (and, of course, the hysteria) in our part of the world. Meanwhile, the largest source of tropical activity is likely to be well below normal and offset it. But what will you hear about? Why is no one bringing up that the warming is working AGAINST storms in the largest basin?
Global?
It looks local to me. Speaking of Local, here’s a random late June 2024 temp map for no particular reason.
Nice, but wait. There’s more. Northern and Central California have had costal water temperature warnings. It is dangerously cold. It’s so cold you could get hypothermia and die (even in July).
A recent temperature reading off the coast of Crescent City revealed that water temperatures were 47.3 degrees Fahrenheit, more than 3 degrees below normal for this time of year and 4 degrees below winter water temperatures in January.
Meteorologists and weather experts are blaming the temperature plunge on an “intense marine cold spell.”
Another odd admission that isn’t getting the attention it deserves. The fragile Gulf of Maine—not too fragile for massive mechanized implants or the process required to install and maintain them—has been so warm lately. We’ve written about it. But scientists are baffled by how unusually cold the water is deeper down in the Gulf. Imagine that. The deeper you go, the colder it gets, but for some reason, this is still colder. Global Warming! They’re looking into it but not very loudly since it’s not on rotation at CNN like Hurricane Beryl!
