Reminder: Can’t Predict Snowfall a Few Days in Advance, But a Few Years From Now … Doom!

by
Steve MacDonald

Schools and Businesses all over New Hampshire announced they would be closed this morning. WMUR shows 78 of them as of 6 am ET. Why? The promise of snowmageddon. A storm that might have dumped up to a foot of white stuff. Also, as of 6 am, we’re getting NoMageddon – less than an inch.

Doctors’ offices, dentists, schools, the list is very diverse. They acted and reacted to forecasts predicting significant snowfall. They canceled appointments, procedures, screening, and classes. The meteorologists had plenty to say, but every report did note that they were watching the storm track and that totals could change.

They did.

The system moved so far south in just two days that southern New Hampshire no longer expects more than a coating to an inch of snow today. But, a few days ago, most of New Hampshire was getting snow, with southern New Hampshire looking at the potential for significant accumulation. Or not. The computer models couldn’t get the facts right on that short runway, but we’re expected to take as gospel model predictions decades or centuries from now.

Can you blame us for being skeptical?

The repeated failure to predict local weather accurately. Climate cultists wearing The End is Near sandwich boards have not gotten anything else right, as none of their cataclysmic predictions has come to pass. Third, there is a lot of money changing hands, much of it ours, to keep this false fearmongering alive. Fourth, the whole cabal of climate catastrophists supports a political agenda to control energy, economics, and human activity.

Activity that came to a standstill at businesses and schools around New Hampshire today is based on another prediction that didn’t come true.

The earth’s climate is far too complex for mere mortals or their computer models – even the ones trying to be honest – to predict. They’ve managed passable scores in the short term, but even those, like today, can be wildly inaccurate.

No amount of technology can surpass the fact that they are guessing, and time and distance make this fortune-telling more prophesy than science.

The only thing the long-range modelers can know is what will get them more funding, and that’s political science, not actual science.

Author

  • Steve MacDonald

    Steve is a long-time New Hampshire resident, blogger, and a member of the Board of directors of The 603 Alliance. He is the owner of Grok Media LLC and the Managing Editor of GraniteGrok.com, a former board member of the Republican Liberty Caucus of New Hampshire, and a past contributor to the Franklin Center for Public Policy.

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