The New Hampshire primary has come and gone – well, not quite gone. I’m sure we’ll have a few messes in Aisle 5, but the counting is about as over as it’s going to be, and we have results we’re meant to accept as legitimate.
Donald Trump won with over 50% of the vote. That was what everyone was predicting. Haley, however, managed 43%, which was higher than expected (results are not final).
DONALD TRUMP Republican
RACE NOT CALLED
|
163,700 | 54.55% |
---|---|---|
NIKKI HALEY Republican
|
129,646 | 43.20% |
RON DESANTIS Republican
|
2,046 | 0.68% |
CHRIS CHRISTIE Republican
|
1,270 | 0.42% |
TOTAL WRITE-INS Republican
|
1,061 | 0.35% |
VIVEK RAMASWAMY Republican
|
687 | 0.23% |
MIKE PENCE Republican
|
353 | 0.12% |
RYAN BINKLEY Republican
|
265 | 0.09% |
MARY MAXWELL Republican
|
243 | 0.08% |
On the other side, nearly half of NH Democrats did not support the write-in Biden campaign. And yes, the 14% of unprocessed write-ins could be ‘Cease Fire.‘
JOE BIDEN (WRITE-IN) Democrat
RACE NOT CALLED
|
54,570 | 51.50% |
---|---|---|
DEAN PHILLIPS Democrat
|
20,976 | 19.80% |
UNPROCESSED WRITE-IN Democrat
|
14,967 | 14.13% |
OTHER WRITE-INS Democrat
|
6,583 | 6.21% |
MARIANNE WILLIAMSON Democrat
|
5,016 | 4.73% |
DEREK NADEAU Democrat
|
1,180 | 1.11% |
VERMIN SUPREME Democrat
|
639 | 0.60% |
JOHN VAIL Democrat
|
506 | 0.48% |
DONALD PICARD Democrat
|
272 | 0.26% |
PAPERBOY PRINCE Democrat
|
220 | 0.21% |
MARK GREENSTEIN Democrat
|
202 | 0.19% |
We will be providing more analysis of this as the week progresses, including balancing these results against the guests we spoke to on Radio Row. For now, the quick take is this. Trump’s train is still rolling. Haley looked better here, getting more of the anyone but Trump vote but she’s not likely to find similar success as we move down the primary calendar.
As for Biden, he skipped New Hampshire, created problems for his supporters here, and nearly 50% of them took Dean Phillip’s advice (I think it was Dean). Biden wrote you off, so why would you write him in? Incumbents typically get 80%. Biden barely broke 505.