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Lockdown

April 5: Murray Model Projections for New Hampshire vs. Numbers Reported by DHHS … the Model is a Damn Joke.

Here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 5th … in terms of hospitalizations, 64 more people would be hospitalized in New Hampshire for Coronavirus, bringing the total of hospitalized to 638: DHHS reports a cumulative total of 92 hospitalized. So, the Murray Model is over-projecting hospitalizations by 546 or nearly 7-X. …

April 5: Murray Model Projections for New Hampshire vs. Numbers Reported by DHHS … the Model is a Damn Joke. Read More »

April 4: Murray Model Projections for New Hampshire vs. Numbers Reported by DHHS (UPDATED)

THIS POST HAS BEEN UPDATED TO REFLECT DDHS NUMERS RELEASED TODAY. Here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 4th … in terms of hospitalizations, 66 more people would be hospitalized in New Hampshire for Coronavirus, bringing the total of hospitalized to 574: DHHS reports a cumulative total of 86 hospitalized. So, …

April 4: Murray Model Projections for New Hampshire vs. Numbers Reported by DHHS (UPDATED) Read More »

April 3 Coronavirus: Another Bad Miss by the Murray Model

So here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 3rd … in terms of hospitalizations, 61 more people would be hospitalized in New Hampshire for Coronavirus, bringing the total of hospitalized to 508: The reality: seven new hospitalizations … 80 hospitalizations in total: So the Murray Model at this point is overestimating …

April 3 Coronavirus: Another Bad Miss by the Murray Model Read More »

Lakes Region General Hospital Furloughs 500 Workers on Account of Flawed Models Vastly Overestimating Impact of Coronavirus

From the Laconia Daily Sun: Lakes Region General Hospital is furloughing 500 full-time employees, LRGH President and CEO Kevin Donovan said Friday. It will keep its emergency department, critical care and coronavirus treatment services open as it deals with the financial fallout of the pandemic, … The hospital was struggling with a high debt load …

Lakes Region General Hospital Furloughs 500 Workers on Account of Flawed Models Vastly Overestimating Impact of Coronavirus Read More »

April 2 Coronavirus: The Murray Model vs. The Actual Numbers for New Hampshire

So here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 2nd … in terms of hospitalizations, 447 people would be in the hospital for Coronavirus: The actual number is at the most 73 people are hospitalized (the number reported by DHHS is “have been hospitalized” so some of the number reported may have …

April 2 Coronavirus: The Murray Model vs. The Actual Numbers for New Hampshire Read More »

#FakeNews Concord Monitor Reports NH Facing Ventilator Shortage … Based on … You Guessed it … Flawed Murray Model

This: If you have been following my posts, you know the IHME model, which I call the Murray Model, has been massively overestimating the impact of Coronavirus on New Hampshire. Paraphrasing from yesterday’s post, while the Murray Model was predicting 405 would be hospitalized in New Hampshire on April 1, 2020 on account of Coronavirus, …

#FakeNews Concord Monitor Reports NH Facing Ventilator Shortage … Based on … You Guessed it … Flawed Murray Model Read More »

April 1 Coronavirus: The Murray Model vs. The Actual Numbers for New Hampshire

So here is what the Murray Model predicted for today … April 1st … in terms of hospitalizations, 405 people would be in the hospital for Coronavirus: The actual number (covidtracking.com) is a total of 59 hospitalized to date: So at a minimum, the Murray Model overestimated needed hospital beds by 346, or 7X. As …

April 1 Coronavirus: The Murray Model vs. The Actual Numbers for New Hampshire Read More »

Utter Madness – Sununu Says He May Continue Lockdown for Months

This: It’s the job of the press to be asking questions like: “and how do you know that?”  And if the answer is: “the Murray model,” to point out that the Murray model has been vastly overestimating the impact of Coronavirus on New Hampshire. But instead we are getting something more along the lines of …

Utter Madness – Sununu Says He May Continue Lockdown for Months Read More »

Murray Model Revised Yet Again – Now Saying NH Would Have Seven-Times as Many Coronavirus Hospitalizations YESTERDAY as Actually Hospitalized

Last night (3/31), at about 11:00 P.M., I posted Murray Model Predicted New Hampshire Would Need Three-Times as Many Hospital Beds Today for Coronavirus Than Number Reported by DHHS. At that time this is what the Murray model said New Hampshire hospitalizations for the Coronavirus would look like: Now, less than twelve hours later, the …

Murray Model Revised Yet Again – Now Saying NH Would Have Seven-Times as Many Coronavirus Hospitalizations YESTERDAY as Actually Hospitalized Read More »

Murray Model Predicted New Hampshire Would Need Three-Times as Many Hospital Beds Today for Coronavirus Than Number Reported by DHHS

So here is today’s update on Coronavirus from DHHS: So 49 persons in New Hampshire have been hospitalized for Coronavirus. I have no idea … and the DHHS website does not say … if that many remain hospitalized. The actual number of hospitalized today (March 31st) could be much lower. But let’s assume that there …

Murray Model Predicted New Hampshire Would Need Three-Times as Many Hospital Beds Today for Coronavirus Than Number Reported by DHHS Read More »