Murray Model Drastically Revises New Hampshire Coronavirus Projections Overnight - Granite Grok

Murray Model Drastically Revises New Hampshire Coronavirus Projections Overnight

So, yesterday I posted about the Murray Model’s projections for New Hampshire. Here is what the model was projecting yesterday:

I checked this morning and the projections have been drastically revised. Now the model is predicting a peak in less than three weeks, not four weeks. And the mortality prediction has dropped from 351 to 337.

The model contains no explanation … at least that I could find … for the changes. Please note that the model’s projections for both yesterday and today are based on maintaining the same protective measures.

What the hell kind of a model is this? And if this is what New Hampshire is relying on to set policy … which would be nice to know, but apparently that’s going to be kept a State-secret … why the hell are we using it?