As I blogged earlier this week, Sarah Palin came to town (here, here, and here) and I would believe that most of the folks that showed up were excited to see her – why else show up even though it was a workday?
Well, as always, Blue Hampshire is always trying to downplay things that are good for Republicans (and V.V by us; and some fools believe that that political unity is possible? Only if Dean decides to give up his principles and join us!). Dean notes:
Getting internal data out of campaign can be like getting blood from a stone, and from the hyper-disciplined Obama campaign it’s near impossible. Yet Plouffe was happy to use DiStaso’s column to counter DiStaso’s interview (boldface mine):
Plouffe also said he did not believe Palin was "the best messenger" for the McCain campaign to send to New Hampshire.
Of COURSE he’s going to say that…he’s one of Obama’s top campaigners – he’s supposed to spin!
He said his campaign’s internal polling shows that Palin is viewed favorably by only 36 percent of New Hampshire independents, while 56 percent view her unfavorably.
A net 20 point Palin unfavorability rating among undeclared voters? This is fantastic news, and, I might add, indicative of the seriousness with which New Hampshire takes its role, and recklessness with which McCain made her VP choice.
I stand by my initial reaction on the day they picked her:
I’m delighted by this choice, because it reveals so much about the character of John McCain.
Actually, the above is what the Dems wish to portray – I tend to doubt it. And I’d like to actually want to study the internals of that poll before I start to wilt (and so should you).
One reason is that her addition to the ticket HAS energized much of the Republican Party. And they are doing more in support of the ticket – and that is the key. Before, it was "oh well, we’ll vote for McCain…" and fundraising and volunteerism showed such a tepid reaction (it is an axiom that the conservatives do a lot of heavy lifting in the elections and they were not all that enamoured at the start).
Until Palin appeared and everything broke loose. Yeah, she did stumble in her early TV interviews. That said, now that she is being allowed to be her, her public appearances show a real person.
And that, the unknown, has the Dems REAL worried…and scared:
From RedState (emphasis mine):
…Just to note, my boss is a republican and was meeting the Obama rep over lunch for other reasons. Politics obviously came up due to his line of work.
He asked my boss what her political leanings were and they did some chit chat around the issues and the impressions each had on the state of the race. What happened next was more than fascinating and should be a reminder to all of us to buck up and remain strong. All is not lost. In fact, we may be in a much better spot than we think – despite the national polls and what the daily media drumbeat to give up.
He asked my boss what she thought about Sarah Palin. While my boss is a republican she hasn’t been nearly as enamored with her as most of our base. She noted concern about Sarah’s experience, but said that she is still voting for McCain.
As she was explaining her perspective it dawned on her to ask why he (the Obama internal pollster) was interested in her view of Palin. He replied that Obama’s campaign is extremely nervous about the energized republican base and what he called the "unkown factor" regarding Palin’s draw as a candidate.
In the polls they’re conducting around the country, and my boss wasn’t able to relay specific numbers, the Obama campaign is very, very worried about how Palin appears to be energizing whole groups of people who don’t typically get energized about politics, precisely because she appeals so strongly to the middle class, as well as women and dissatisfied republicans that stayed home in 2006.
Tell me, which do you prefer: "You Betcha" or "Do you know how much arugala costs?"? Middle class and self made or socialist elite?
More than that, they don’t know how to guage and predict the support of people typically turned off by politics, but that are enamored with her "up from the bootstraps" appeal.
I say all of this because this pollster conveyed strong concern about their standing going into the homestretch. They are very concerned about winning the vote of the middle class and whole swaths of the electorate they consider the "unknowns." In fact, and based on her conversation with this internal pollster for Obama, he’s not ahead in the polls as we’re being told. He’s at best tied.
Look, take it for what it is. But what I know is that we’re being sold a bill of goods by the media. Why? Not to be conspiratorial, but they likely just want to dispirit us, precisely because Obama has yet to seal the deal. He should be way ahead this season, but he’s not.
I’ll close by saying that we have several weeks left. The Obama camp internally knows they haven’t wrapped this thing up. Let’s keep on fighting (and even if we have to drag McCain over the finish line – as Rush fondly exhorts us to do – let’s do it) and let’s win this thing!
Doug and I will do our part and do what we do best…..dragging Moose Hunting Beauty Queen and the Jet Jockey across the line.