Polling

Are the Polls Crap?

by Steve MacDonald February 7, 2016
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We open with guest-host Emily Sandblade who knows a thing or two about math and polling to discuss what the current presidential polls likely reflect and why you probably should not ‘buy’ what they are selling.  

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Most Recent RCP Polling

by Steve MacDonald January 30, 2016
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Some of the latest polling from RCP, if your curious… NH – Suffolk: Trump 27, Kasich 12, Cruz 12, Bush 11, Rubio 10, Christie 6, Carson 5, Fiorina 4, Paul 2, Huckabee 0, Santorum 0 NH – NBC/WSJ/Marist: Trump 31, Cruz 12, Rubio 11, Kasich 11, Bush 8,  Christie 7, Carson 5, Paul 4, Fiorina 4, […]

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New WMUR/CNN NH Primary Poll – Bad News For Christie and Kasich

by Steve MacDonald January 21, 2016
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As the First in the Nation New Hampshire primary approaches both Christie (Tough guy friend of the second amendment-not!) and Kasich (prince of light and hope) have been appearing to climb but a new WMUR/CNN poll just beat those narratives into submission. Not only are they both stuck at or back down to 6%, their favorability […]

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The latest Polling from RCP

by Steve MacDonald January 11, 2016
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Iowa – NBC/WSJ/Marist: Cruz 28, Trump 24, Rubio 13, Carson 11, Bush 4, Paul 5, Christie 3, Huckabee 2, Fiorina 3, Kasich 2, Graham, Santorum 0, Pataki New Hampshire – NBC/WSJ/Marist: Trump 30, Rubio 14, Cruz 10, Bush 9, Christie 12, Kasich 9, Paul 5, Carson 4, Fiorina 3, Santorum 0, Huckabee 0 NH – NH1: […]

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Polling? Yes, We Have Fresh Polling.

by Steve MacDonald January 7, 2016
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The holidays were not big for polling data but this week we are seeing some new stuff over at RCP. We’ve also got Nevada and California in the mix now. In Nevada it is Trump 33, Cruz 20, Rubio 11, Carson 6, Christie 5, Bush 5, Fiorina 5, Paul 1, Santorum 1, Kasich 0, Huckabee 0 […]

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Polling, Polling, Polling…

by Steve MacDonald December 22, 2015
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Quinnipac has a new national poll out today in which the Trump lead has dwindled: Trump 28, Cruz 24, Rubio 12, Carson 10, with Christie at 6, Paul and Fiorina  at 2, and Kasich, Huckabee, and Santorum at 1. The national average of all RCP polls shows Trump at 33 and Cruz at 18. Rubio is already declining from […]

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Trump, Cruz, Rubio, Christie, Bush, Kasich

by Steve MacDonald December 18, 2015
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The Boston Herald has a New Hampshire primary poll out this morning (post-debate). Trump 26, Cruz 12, Rubio 12, Christie 11, Bush 10,  Kasich 8, Fiorina 6, Carson 5, Paul 3, … Observations on the NH numbers: Fiorina and Carson continue to slide while Donald Trump maintains a stranglehold on first.  The next position is […]

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More NH RINO’s Wander In Behind Christie Who Drops Back in to Single Digits

by Steve MacDonald December 9, 2015
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The Christie endorsement roll-out continues. Sherm Packard and Dick Hinch have come out of the closet for Christie. As I said here, there would be more and this isn’t the end. The state is chock-full of moderates willing to side with someone like Gov. Christie we just have to wait to see if they pick […]

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Christie Endorsement Fist Bump or “Missed” Bump

by Steve MacDonald December 3, 2015
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The Union Leader has endorsed Gov. Chris Christie for the Republican nomination as have Jeff Chidester and Donna Sytek, suggesting, if nothing else, and interesting range of “appeal.” While we are fans of what has come to be known as Chris Christie Porn–the videos of town-hall style meetings where Gov. Christie straight talks his way through […]

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Polling Update c/o RCP

by Steve MacDonald November 4, 2015
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Trump still has the lead in NH but in Iowa and nationally Dr. Carson is ahead by a hair.  RCP’s average break down has Carson followed by Trump, Rubio, Cruz, Fiorina, Kasich, Paul, and then the rest.  NH RCP averages have Trump leading by +14 followed by Carson, Rubio, Kasich, Bush, then Cruz. Here are the […]

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RCP Republican Primary Presidential Polling Update

by Steve MacDonald October 22, 2015
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I took a quick look at the recent RCP polling this morning. These are polls released today or yesterday. Iowa/Quinnipc has Ben Carson is +8, followed by Trump, Rubio, Cruz, Paul, Firoina/Bush, Jinadal… Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus Quinnipiac Trump 20, Carson 28, Rubio 13, Cruz 10, Fiorina 5, Bush 5, Paul 6, Jindal 3, Kasich 3, […]

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Trump Slumps, As Carly Crushes It

by Steve MacDonald August 13, 2015
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Washington Examiner  In the first poll to show troubles from his debate performance, Donald Trump has tumbled from 26 percent to 17 percent, with insurgent Republican business leader Carly Fiorina skyrocketing into third place. Rasmussen Reports said that Trump remains the leader of the GOP pack, but his support has fallen by more than a […]

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Pistol Envy?

by Susan Olsen June 2, 2015

William Tucker, the purveyor of pontification at Miscellany Blue, seems to have his lingerie all in a knot over the Women’s Defense League Poll demonstrating 71% of NH voters support ending the near century-long, state-sanctioned discrimination that is embodied in NH’s current pistol “licensing” statute, RSA 159:6. Rather than address the discrimination issue at hand, […]

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Will NH HB320 Infringe on Political Speech?

by Steve MacDonald January 22, 2015
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Finding New Hampshire House Bill 320 (HB320) was like tripping over something in the dark on your way to something else.  The thing in the dark is “AN ACT relative to removal of certain campaign materials at the polling place.” Certain campaign materials?  What campaign materials? HB320 would amend Amend RSA 659:43, II to allow […]

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GrokTALK! Live Stream for October 4th, 2014

by Steve MacDonald October 4, 2014
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This week SNHU Professor Kevin Kervick Joins us to talk about Republican politics, party division, the 1000 comment facebook status update he started on the subject, and what that says about where we are just weeks before the November Elections.  There’s also  rumor that Brian Demyanich (Jen Horn’s pool guy) will be on, and perhaps […]

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NH Primary GrokPoll Update

by Steve MacDonald September 9, 2014
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I’ll be off line for a few hours (Hope to be back by 8:30, 9pm ish, but before I go, here is an update on our Primary GrokPOLL results so far. Governor Hemingway 71% Havenstein 28% NH CD-1 Guinta 52% Innis 30% Kelly 18% NH CD-2 Garcia 64% Lambert 18% Lawrence 18% State Senate Dist […]

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Primary Turnout Report From Merrimack NH

by Steve MacDonald September 9, 2014
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I just did my civic duty and exercised my right to vote. While I was there I spoke to a dozen candidates, activists, friends, folks out in the sun holding totems and shaking hands.  The first obvious question is how is the turnout?  The answers were “Lousy.”  “Low.”  “Pathetic.” Merrimack is a large, Republican town.  […]

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Voter ID Popular with NH Citizens But Not The NH Media?

by Steve MacDonald May 15, 2014
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The Dartmouth College of Sexual Assault and Left-Wing Learning recently produced data that demonstrated high approval among registered NH voters for requiring ID to vote.  Seventy-five percent of those polled, many of whom also favored a gender equality amendment and stricter gun control, thought that presenting an ID at the polls was a good idea.  […]

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ObamaCare Pessimism On The Rise

by Steve MacDonald April 9, 2014
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Slow, downward, spiral…. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 58% of Likely U.S. Voters have at least a somewhat unfavorable opinion of the health care law, with 43% who view it Very Unfavorably. Just 39% have a favorable view of the law, including 16% with a Very Favorable one. (To see survey question […]

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Obligatory ‘Democrats’ Less Likely to Know Earth Revolves Around the Sun Post.

by Steve MacDonald February 19, 2014
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Less likely than me, at least. I took a quick shot at this here, but more details are out so it deserves a second look. We knew Tea Party types were better at science, and then again–thanks to a Liberal Yale Professor, so this is not at all surprising.   New Research indicates the more Conservative […]

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Immigration Polls Quoted By Democrats…

by Steve MacDonald January 15, 2014
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Everything you need to know about Democrats and immigration, from Ann Coulter…(emphasis mine) Most immigration polls are variations on the one taken by the liberal Brookings Institution last March. Although it has been endlessly cited for allegedly showing that a majority of Americans support amnesty, the poll never asked about amnesty, or any real policy. […]

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Left in Extremis

by Steve MacDonald December 21, 2013
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Democrats make emotional proclamations about who hold views outside the mainstream of American thought.  (Hint – it is always those who pose any threat to their political power.)  If you do not agree with them you are an extremist and having a majority control of the media and entertainment allows them to get away with […]

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72% Of Americans – Big Government is The Biggest Threat to The Country

by Steve MacDonald December 19, 2013
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Gallup is reporting that a record high 72% of Americans view big government over big business and big labor as the biggest threat to the future of the country, which aligns equally with the primary motivation behind that ‘extremist’ TEA Pary. So.  I’m curious how the Democrats will want to spin this? “We’re not for […]

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Obama Coalition Approval Plunges

by Steve MacDonald December 9, 2013
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Washington Times Now, little more than a year after the president’s re-election, his job approval rating has fallen among all segments of the American electorate. But it has fallen the most among those who did the most to elect him. For example, according to a new Gallup compilation, Obama’s job approval rating among Hispanic Americans […]

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The Democrats Are Out of Touch Extremists…

by Steve MacDonald December 4, 2013
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When no other group in the nation agrees with you, you are out of touch.  Honestly, 71% of Democrats are happy with the roll out of ObamaCare.  Seriously? This is not news to us here, of course.  We always knew Democrats were extremists.

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A Little WMURphy for You.

by Steve MacDonald August 5, 2013

I think I know why WMUR was miffed at us.  No, not becasue Skip fingered them for media bias, though I just did that here again and on Red State, so we should probably expect another letter from their lawyer.   I think it’s becasue, well, let me show you. Skip MURphy W MUR If Mr. […]

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Prepare for The Most Inaccurate Exit Polling…EVER!

by Steve MacDonald November 6, 2012

The very thing that makes the race appear even remotely close between Obama and Romney will be multiplied today.  I’m talking about exit polling.  My guess is that the same people who do not want to admit that they will not vote for Obama before the election, will not admit they didn’t vote for him […]

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Rassmussen “Hey, UNH – Obama +8? We Don’t Think So…”

by Steve MacDonald October 24, 2012

The big joke of the week has been a UNH poll that showed Obama up by 8 points in New Hampshire.   The UNH poll is a huge joke, and just for good measure, one of the most accurate and reliable polls around just came in with a different set of numbers. Rasmussen is reporting today […]

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What a Tangled Web We Weave…

by Steve MacDonald October 17, 2012

Afternoon video…can’t beat it. Well get used to this…and by that I mean the swell of people who are not happy about being fooled by Obama in 2008.  They are done with his empty suit BS.  Though I continue to believe most will simply say nothing and vote Romney, and the polls (even exit polls) […]

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Romney Ahead in NH?

by Steve MacDonald October 12, 2012

Another Poll, another result.  This one, from American Research Group, (Hill Blog) shows Romney up in New Hampshire 50-46. In other polling, the Granite State WMUR poll shows Romney still down six points, but at the same time they recorded an 18 point swing in Romney’s favor among women voters since their last poll.  So […]

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