MicroGroks
FiveThirtyEight keeps showing us the polls that have President Asterisk in the mid to low 50% approval range. If that’s true, ‘Splain this?
In the early days of October, Bernie Sanders came to the Granite State to Campaign for Joe Biden. Bernie has a lot of Granite State Groupies. Folks who would show up to see him regardless of why he was here. But they didn’t show up.
At least 25,000 people passed through the metal detectors, thousands more were outside – our friend Stacy McCain suspects the total was nearer to 35k, and the enthusiasm was high. Look at this photo of the crowd at dusk, when it was still growing, and then watch the video clips from the Cincinnati Enquirer. Mitt …
MittMentum in Ohio – Massive Rally of 30k+ On A Chilly Friday Evening Read More »
News this morning shows Republicans with a wide enthusiasm gap over Democrats. For the time being it gives them a 13% advantage in likely voting. At the same time Independents, who broke 52-44 for Obama in 2008 are now more likely to vote Republican by a margin of 51-35. Obama has lost 24% of Independents …
13% Enthusiasm Gap – 24 point Swing with Independents from 2008 to 2012 Read More »
The popular narrative is that Romney is not enthusing the base, and that the swing states have already swung Obama, indeed, in an exercise that can only be called “opinion making” rather than opinion polling, WMUR just reported Obama with a 15 point lead in NH, and that is on top of a recently reported …
The Enthusiasm Gap: More Reasons Traditional Polls Are Wrong Read More »
For a long time now, Pete DaTechGuy has been saying of the Democrats: ‘Ride right through them, they’re as demoralized as hell!‘, and Rush Limbaugh has been talking about biased polls oversampling Democrats. In addition, Rasmussen has been tracking the changes in voter registrations, and Dean Chambers over at QStar News has been using Rasmussen’s …
LameStream Media Skew-ered by Their Own Poll Bias Read More »
Turnout was actually pretty good in my town yesterday, Primary Day here in NH. There was a contentious issue in this town of 7,400- the purchase of yet another fire truck, to replace an engine that seemed not to get the correct maintenance, at the cost of $500,000. This was an issue that was voted …
