13% Enthusiasm Gap - 24 point Swing with Independents from 2008 to 2012 - Granite Grok

13% Enthusiasm Gap – 24 point Swing with Independents from 2008 to 2012

News this morning shows Republicans with a wide enthusiasm gap over Democrats.  For the time being it gives them a 13% advantage in likely voting.  At the same time Independents, who broke 52-44 for Obama in 2008 are now more likely to vote Republican by a margin of 51-35.  Obama has lost 24% of Independents in this survey

Given that the local media in New Hampshire are chewing on narratives that give Democrats significant gains in the state this November, you have to question what that is based on?  Will they pick up seats?  I can’t see how they wouldn’t.  With so many folks not running again, particularity in the state Senate, a failure by the NHDP to gain ground would be laughable.  So yeah, they’ll pick up seats.

But to suggest that they will see the state swing back to pre-2010 representation is a crack-pipe dream that even the college student vote couldn’t sustain.

Politico

Breitbart

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